Sheffield United vs Derby County Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Sheffield United vs Derby County Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

The England Championship continues on Saturday, 1 November 2025, with a classic clash between Sheffield United and Derby County at Bramall Lane, kicking off at 15:00 GMT. This fixture brings together two sides with rich histories and a record of close, competitive meetings, with Sheffield United seeking to assert their dominance at home once more.

Following the model used in San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, Football Park’s advanced prediction algorithm — which analyses over 200 performance indicators including form, defensive strength, and chance creation — points strongly toward a home win. The data highlights Sheffield United to Win @ 1.80 as the top value selection, with Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 also showing strong statistical appeal based on a 60% BTTS probability.

With Sheffield United having beaten Derby in their last five meetings at Bramall Lane, the model expects another close but decisive result in favour of the Blades.

Sheffield United vs Derby County Predictions

Football Park’s predictive model gives Sheffield United the upper hand in this Championship fixture, with a 53.3% chance of victory, compared to 33.3% for Derby and 13.3% for the draw.

The algorithm forecasts a moderately open game, with 2.3 expected match goals and Sheffield United projected to score 1.3 of them. Both teams are expected to create quality chances, leading to a 60% likelihood of both sides scoring. The model’s most probable outcome is a 2–1 home victory, reflecting Sheffield United’s attacking edge and Derby’s vulnerability away from home.

Key Statistical Overview

• Home Win Probability: 53.3%
• Draw Probability: 13.3%
• Away Win Probability: 33.3%
• Expected Match Goals: 2.3
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 60.0%
• Most Likely Correct Score: 2–1 Sheffield United

Sheffield United have been highly effective at home, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Derby’s defensive numbers away from Pride Park remain inconsistent. Football Park’s data suggests a game where the hosts will dominate possession, though Derby’s transitional pace could ensure they find the net.

Football Park’s Best Bets

Sheffield United to Win @ 1.80 – Backed by a 53.3% win probability and strong home record in head-to-heads, this market offers consistent value.

Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 – With a 60% BTTS probability and both sides expected to score at least once, this complements the predicted 2–1 outcome.

These two markets represent Football Park’s most reliable high-percentage selections for this fixture.

Sheffield United vs Derby County Lineups

The expected Sheffield United vs Derby lineups showcase contrasting tactical approaches. Sheffield United are likely to deploy a familiar 3-5-2 formation, focusing on width, high pressing, and overlapping centre-backs to overload Derby’s defensive flanks. Derby County, meanwhile, should opt for a 4-2-3-1, aiming to stay compact and exploit counter-attacking opportunities through pace on the break.

Team Outlook

• Sheffield United Strengths: Direct vertical play, high pressing, and set-piece efficiency.
• Derby County Strengths: Counter-attacking transitions, midfield compactness, and long-range finishing.
• Shared Weakness: Both defences concede under pressure in the final 20 minutes — reflected in the 60% BTTS projection.

Football Park’s analysis indicates that Sheffield United’s ability to control possession and exploit wide areas will likely be the decisive factor. The Blades’ strong early tempo and Derby’s slow-starting trend could see the hosts establish control before halftime.

Sheffield United vs Derby County Timeline

The Sheffield United vs Derby timeline has historically favoured the Blades, particularly at Bramall Lane, where they’ve dominated recent encounters.

Previous Meetings

• 21 Sep 2024: Sheffield United 1–0 Derby
• 25 Sep 2021: Sheffield United 1–0 Derby
• 24 Aug 2021: Sheffield United 2–1 Derby
• 26 Dec 2018: Sheffield United 3–1 Derby
• 26 Aug 2017: Sheffield United 3–1 Derby

Sheffield United have won five consecutive home fixtures against Derby, scoring 10 goals and conceding just three. The consistent trend of narrow but confident home victories reinforces the model’s projection of a 2–1 win.

First-Half Insights

• Over 0.5 First-Half Goals Probability: 60%
• Over 1.5 First-Half Goals Probability: 20%
• Half-Time Result Most Likely: Draw (46.7%)

Football Park’s data suggests a controlled start, with Sheffield United gaining momentum after the interval — aligning with a Half-Time/Full-Time prediction of Draw/Home, which reflects their tendency to grow into home games.

Sheffield United vs Derby County Matches

The recent Sheffield United vs Derby matches have consistently produced competitive scorelines and measured tactical battles. Sheffield United’s attacking balance, bolstered by clinical home performances, remains the most significant factor entering this fixture.

Football Park’s analysis of over 200 simulations indicates that Derby County will likely struggle to sustain possession, but their counter-attacking ability could expose Sheffield United’s high defensive line at least once.

Predicted Match Flow

• Opening 25 Minutes: Cautious tempo with both sides testing midfield control.
• Middle Phase (30–70 minutes): Sheffield United assert dominance, leading to key scoring opportunities.
• Final Quarter: Derby press for an equaliser, but the Blades’ defensive organisation and home crowd energy see them close out the match.

Predicted Scoreline

Sheffield United 2–1 Derby County – The most probable outcome, supported by historical data, win probability, and BTTS projection.

Sheffield United vs Derby County Predictions Summary

Football Park’s algorithm points to a tight but deserved Sheffield United victory, with goals likely for both teams. The hosts’ superior form and home advantage give them the edge, but Derby’s attacking transitions suggest a lively encounter with multiple scoring opportunities.

Football Park’s Key Betting Insights

Main Tip: Sheffield United to Win @ 1.80

Secondary Tip: Both Teams to Score @ 2.00

Predicted Scoreline: 2–1 Sheffield United

Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Home

With 2.3 expected total goals and 60% BTTS probability, Football Park’s data supports combining the home win with goal-based markets for higher-value multi bets.

Responsible Betting Reminder

Football Park advocates responsible gambling. Our predictions are built on verified data and historical trends, but results in football can vary. Always bet within your means and view statistical models as guides, not guarantees.

Match Facts

Competition: England Championship

Date: Saturday, 1 November 2025

Kick-off: 15:00 GMT

Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield

Referee: To be confirmed

Broadcast & Coverage

Coverage available through Sky Sports Football and regional broadcasters across the UK. Full post-match data analysis and betting insights will be published on Football Park following the final whistle.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our in-house analytics team combines predictive modelling with tactical insight to deliver reliable, data-backed betting advice.

Football Park’s Best Bets for This Fixture:

Sheffield United to Win @ 1.80

Both Teams to Score @ 2.00

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