Southampton vs Portsmouth Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Southampton vs Portsmouth Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: September 14, 2025 | St Mary’s Stadium | EFL Championship | 12:00 BST

Club football returns this weekend, and we kick off Sunday with a bang. It’s the frt south coast Derby of the 2025/26 EFL Championship campaign, as Southampton host Portsmouth in what sure to be a very feisty affair.

Key Betting Tips: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS at 2.05 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.

Southampton vs Portsmouth Predicted Lineups

Southampton Predicted XI (3-4-2-1): Gavin Bazunu; Jack Stephens, Nathan Wood, Taylor Harwood-Bellis; Mads Roerslev, Ryan Fraser, Shea Charles, Ryan Manning; Finn Azaz, Jay Robinson; Cameron Archer.

We believe Will Still could keep the same lineup, however, slightly alter the system, opting for a 3-4-2-1, while playing Fraser in a central midfield role. Saints will be without Samuel Edozie and Welington for this bragging rights clash.

Portsmouth Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Schmid; Zak Swanson, Regan Poole, Conor Shaughnessy, Connor Ogilvie; John Swift, Andre Dozzell; Florian Bianchini, Adrian Segecic, Josh Murphy; Colby Bishop.

We also expect John Mousinho to apply a similar lineup for this match that he put out against Preston a fortnight ago. Pompey will make the short trip west without Callum Lang, Harvey Blair, and Marlon Pack.

Southampton vs Portsmouth Current League Standings

Both sides have began this season rather inconsistently. Saints have been underwhelming and unconvincing thus far, winning just one of their four fixtures, drawing two and losing the other. Their five points so far places them in 14 after ahead of gameweek 5.

As for Pompey, they too have been inconsistent, however, their two wins, a draw and a loss. Mousinho’s side have accumulated seven points so far this season, leaving them in eighth position. Victory on Sunday lunch could lift them into the play-off places depending on the results of the teams around them.

Southampton vs Portsmouth Head-to-Head Timeline

This Derby is reigniting domestically for the first time since the 2011/12 Championship season, with the sides meeting just once aside from those fixtures. Both league fixtures ended in score draws, while the more recent cup match between the sides came in 2019.

Here, Saints thrashed Pompey 4-0 away from home thanks to a brace from Danny Ings, and goals from Cedric Soares and Nathan Redmond.

Southampton and Portsmouth Recent Matches Analysis

Southampton Last 5 Matches:

• Southampton 2-2 Watford (A) – Championship
• Southampton 3-0 Norwich (A) – EFL Cup
• Southampton 1-2 Stoke (H) – Championship
• Southampton 1-1 Ipswich (A) – Championship
• Southampton 1-0 Northampton (A) – EFL Cup

Saints have found the target in each of their last five matches, keeping a clean sheet twice, but not yet in the league, making this both teams to score punt quite appealing.

Portsmouth Last 5 Matches:

• Portsmouth 1-0 Preston (H) – Championship
• Portsmouth 1-1 West Brom (A) – Championship
• Portsmouth 1-2 Norwich (H) – Championship
• Portsmouth 1-2 Reading (H) – EFL Cup
• Portsmouth 1-0 Oxford (A) – Championship

Pompey also look quite vulnerable defensively, having made only one clean sheet so far. They too have scored in each of their matches this season, proving the initial value in this selected tip.

Southampton vs Portsmouth Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS victory. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Southampton vs Portsmouth Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.05 - Recent form suggests confidence in a high scoring derby game. Neither side have been convincing defensively this season and are both prone to mistakes. Both frontlines seem like they are on form too. Mixing these stats with it being a high-stakes game, this won't be a nervy, cagey game; this match is going to be a feisty, spicy open fixture, flowing with chances.

Key Players to Watch: Southampton vs Portsmouth

Ryan Manning (Southampton): The Irish international has been dominating the flank so far in the Championship, with both of his two goals so far being the reason Saints have earned points in those games.

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth): The 21-year-old has had an outstanding start to the campaign in the second tier in front of goal, scoring twice just four matches. He also averages 2.5 shots per game, so he is expected to get chances, and he has so far been clinical.

Southampton vs Portsmouth Match Facts

Referee: Matt Donohue (ENG). The vastly experienced EFL official has taken charge of 267 matches in his professional career. Donohue has handed out an average of 3.57 yellow cards per match throughout his career.

Broadcast Details:

UK: ITV1, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+ 12:00 BST. The game will also be available on various regional broadcast channels.

Stadium Information: Located on the south coast, St Mary’s can hold a crowd of up to just over 32,000 fans. The venue is an all-seater stadium; however, it also holds one of the larger safe-standing sections as a proportion to its total capacity in the country.

Southampton vs Portsmouth: Final Prediction

Southampton 2-1 Portsmouth