Over 2.5
Southampton 2 - 1 Wrexham AFC
Who will win?
1
Southampton
x
Draw
2
Wrexham AFC
The EFL Championship roars back to life this Saturday lunchtime at St Mary's Stadium, with a fascinating encounter between two clubs at opposite ends of the recent footballing spectrum. Southampton, relegated from the Premier League last season, begin their campaign with a clear objective: an immediate return to the top flight. They welcome a Wrexham side whose fairytale rise under their Hollywood ownership has seen them achieve three consecutive promotions, making this their first Championship season in over four decades.
While the Saints boast a squad brimming with Premier League experience and a determined new manager in Will Still, Wrexham have been busy in the transfer market, bringing in battle-tested players to compete at this level. This clash is more than just a season opener; it's a test of whether Southampton's established quality will prevail, or if Wrexham's momentum and fighting spirit can spring an early-season surprise. Our data-driven analysis suggests Southampton will be too strong at home, predicting a 2-1 victory for the Saints in a closely-fought contest.
Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score at 2.20 odds represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.
Southampton Predicted XI: G. Bazunu, R. Manning, J. Quarshie, J. Stephens, Y. Sugawara, S. Charles, F. Downes, R. Fraser, C. Archer, D. Downs, A. Armstrong
Samuel Edozie and Charlie Taylor are missing due to injury. Tyler Dibling’s absence is likely among the transfer speculation.
Wrexham Predicted XI: D. Ward, L. Cacace, L. Brunt, C. Coady, M. Cleworth, R. Longman, M. James, L. O’Brien, J. Windass, R. Hardie, K. Moore
Ollie Rathbone, Andy Cannon, and Jay Rodriguez are all absent with injuries for this game.
As this is the season opener, there are no current league standings. However, in 2024/25, Southampton finished 20th in the Premier League, with 12 points, the second-lowest PL tally ever. Their two league wins were nothing compared to Wrexham’s 27. The Welsh outfit finished 2nd in League One, achieving automatic promotion.
The Saints and Red Dragons are meeting for the first time in 46 years this weekend. Only meeting 7 times in their history, the pair haven’t been in the same league since 1960, when they both competed in the third tier. Between the 50s and 70s, Southampton won four meetings, and Wrexham won three, meaning there has never been a draw.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Southampton Last 5 Matches:
A mixed bag of results has seen the Saints draw with Premier League opposition, lose to La Liga’s Espanyol, and narrowly squeeze past lower league English and French sides.
Wrexham Last 5 Matches:
Wrexham have recently participated in a ‘Down Under’ tour, facing a few Australian clubs. They have lost three straight games to round off their pre-season.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 60% confidence in both teams to score and over 2.5 goals. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.20 - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted over 2.5 goals and both teams to score in this fixture. Both sides are full of goals and will want to start the season with a bang!
Kieffer Moore (Wrexham): Over two million was spent to bring the Welsh international back to nation he represents. A proven Championship goalscorer, Moore should light up the league for Wrexham. Racking up 59 Championship goals overall, Moore hit 20 goals for Cardiff in the 2020/21 season, and will be looking to get straight to business this weekend.
Adam Armstrong (Southampton): Shooting in the other direction is another proven Championship goalscorer. Armstrong has 80 Championship goals to his name including two 20+ goalscoring seasons in 2020/21 and 2023/24.
Broadcast Details: This match will be available to watch on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+, and Sky Go.
Referee: James Bell (England) made his Championship debut on 20 August 2022, when he officiated West Bromwich Albion’s 5-2 win over Hull City at the Hawthorns. He has officiated 24 Championship matches in the last year.
Stadium Information: St Mary's Stadium is a football stadium in Southampton, Hampshire, England, which has been the home stadium of EFL Championship club Southampton since 2001. The stadium has a capacity of 32,384 and is currently the largest football stadium in South East England.
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