Stoke City vs Charlton Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Stoke City host Charlton at the bet365 Stadium on 25 November 2025 at 19:45 GMT in a Championship matchup where the Football Park algorithm strongly backs the home side. Following the same methodology used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, this preview is built from over 200 data points, combining performance modelling, possession dynamics, shot quality distribution, and tactical trend analysis to generate highly accurate match projections.

Stoke enter with a commanding 66.70 percent win probability, driven by their projected 1.90-goal output and a consistent edge in transitional phases. Charlton, meanwhile, hold just a 13.30 percent win probability, though the model indicates they retain the capacity to score, with a 60 percent chance of both teams finding the net. The projected 2-1 correct score reinforces the expectation of Stoke’s superiority while acknowledging the attacking potential of the visitors. This fixture promises a dynamic and statistically rich contest.

Stoke City vs Charlton Predictions

The Football Park model positions Stoke City as one of the strongest Championship favourites of the week, with a 66.70 percent chance of victory. Charlton’s winning probability sits far lower at 13.30 percent, while the draw holds 20 percent, indicating a clear analytical tilt toward a decisive home win.

Goal projections reveal further insights:

• 100 percent probability of at least one goal
• 65 percent chance of Over 1.5
• 40 percent chance of Over 2.5
• 35 percent chance of Over 3.5

A projected 2.70 total goals highlights a balanced match state where Stoke’s attacking structure is expected to generate sustained chances across both halves. The first half is forecasted to produce 1.13 goals, supported by a 67 percent probability of at least one goal before the interval.

Charlton’s attacking presence remains notable, shaped by a 60 percent Both Teams to Score probability, despite their limited winning outlook. Their wide build-up and speed in transitional phases appear strong enough to trouble Stoke’s defensive lines at moments, especially early in the second half.

The model’s projected 2-1 final score is the most repeated scenario across simulation batches, marking Stoke as dominant yet not unchallenged.

Stoke City vs Charlton Matches: Previous Meetings

Historical data between the sides shows only one recent meeting of relevance:

• 08 Feb 2020 – Stoke City 3-1 Charlton

That fixture showcased Stoke’s ability to control tempo at home, particularly through their wide-channel pressure and direct attacking movements — traits that align with the current predictive modelling. While years have passed since that matchup, the stylistic contrast persists: Stoke’s structured, sustained pressure against Charlton’s punchier transitional threat. This blend remains at the core of the algorithm’s expectation that both sides score, yet Stoke hold the advantage over 90 minutes.

Best Stoke City vs Charlton Betting Tips

Only the two highest-rated percentage selections are included.

1. Stoke City to Win

With a 66.70 percent probability, Stoke are one of the strongest algorithm-backed favourites of the round. Their projected scoring profile, tactical superiority, and home efficiency combine to create substantial value at 2.00 odds, significantly outperforming baseline market expectations.

2. Both Teams to Score

The 60 percent BTTS probability reflects Charlton’s ability to create moments of incision despite their lower winning probability. Stoke’s attacking approach often leaves space for counters, and Charlton’s modelling highlights bursts of transitional quality that can convert into chances. At 1.91 odds, BTTS offers value supported by algorithmic confidence.

For similar angles on Championship fixtures, Football Park’s match analysis hub provides deeper breakdowns across the division.

Stoke City vs Charlton Match Facts

Referee: The match official has yet to be confirmed. Football Park analytics will integrate referee tendency datasets once the appointment is released, adjusting models for foul frequency, advantage usage, and penalty likelihood.

Broadcast Details: Domestic and international coverage follows the EFL’s broadcast packages, with UK viewers typically able to follow this fixture via Sky Sports or authorised EFL streaming services.

Stadium Insight: The bet365 Stadium is historically favourable to Stoke in high-tempo matches, and the model suggests a 66.70 percent chance of Stoke leading at full time. With a 66.70 percent halftime draw probability, the narrative may hinge on a second-half surge from the hosts, aligning with Stoke’s strong endurance metrics.

Stoke City vs Charlton Timeline: Predicted Match Flow

Football Park’s modelling forecasts a controlled yet competitive match. The early stages are expected to be measured, with a 66.70 percent probability of being level at halftime, driven by Stoke’s patient buildup and Charlton’s defensive resilience.

The second half shifts momentum significantly in favour of Stoke, who are projected to find their attacking rhythm between minutes 50–70. Charlton retain counterattacking threat, reflected in the 60 percent BTTS probability, but across the final third of the match Stoke’s superior control and shot-generation patterns dominate.

The model’s most frequent outcome, 2-1 to Stoke, reflects this arc: a tight first half, followed by a decisive home performance after the interval.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.