Home Win
Stoke City 0 - 2 Norwich
Who will win?
1
Stoke City
x
Draw
2
Norwich
Stoke host Norwich at the bet365 Stadium on Saturday, 27 September 2025 (15:00 GMT) in the Championship. The Potters enter with just a 13.3% win probability, while Norwich have a strong 46.7% chance of taking three points. With a projected 0-2 away win, the Canaries look the more reliable side, especially with their superior attacking metrics.
Date: 27 September 2025
Kick-Off: 15:00 GMT
Competition: England Championship
Venue: bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent – a compact 30,000-seater known for its intense atmosphere.
Referee: TBC
UK: Sky Sports Red Button / Sky Go
International: ESPN+, DAZN, Viaplay (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 13.3%
Away Win Probability: 46.7%
Draw Probability: 40.0%
Correct Score Prediction: 0-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 46.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Away/Away
Norwich Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.73 – Strong value given the Canaries’ away form and Stoke’s low scoring projection.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.91 – With only 2.2 expected match goals, a low-scoring away win looks likely.
Expected Match Goals: 2.20
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 80%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 60%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 20%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.13 (73% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Norwich Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.73
Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.91
The data suggests a tight contest where Norwich’s sharper attack should be decisive. A 0-2 correct score reflects both the algorithm’s model and betting value.
At Football Park, we highlight value through advanced analytics, but no bet is ever guaranteed. Football can surprise – especially in the Championship. Always gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
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