Bolton vs Bradford Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Bolton vs Bradford Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Bolton welcome Bradford to the Toughsheet Community Stadium on 22 November 2025 at 15:00 GMT in a League One fixture that Football Park’s algorithm rates heavily in favour of the home side. Following the same analytical structure used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips preview, this matchup is broken down using probability modelling, historical trends and market-value assessment.

Our recommended betting tip for the match is Bolton to Win at 1.75, supported by a strong 61.7 percent home-win probability. With the algorithm projecting a 3-0 Correct Score and forecasting a high-tempo first half, this fixture sets up as one where Bolton’s attacking efficiency should overwhelm a Bradford side modelling poorly in forward phases.

Bolton vs Bradford Predictions

Football Park’s model gives Bolton a commanding 61.7 percent chance of taking all three points, significantly outstripping Bradford’s 8.3 percent win probability. The 30 percent draw likelihood stems from Bradford’s defensive tendencies, but the gap in expected output leans heavily toward the home side.

The goal projections are similarly decisive:

Expected Goals: Bolton 1.80, Bradford 0.70

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 93.8 percent

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 72.5 percent

Both Teams to Score: 58.3 percent

The algorithm’s projected 3-0 Correct Score highlights Bolton’s superiority across every attacking layer. With a 63.3 percent chance of a halftime Bolton lead, this match is expected to tilt early toward the hosts before they consolidate control in the second period.

Bolton vs Bradford Matches: Previous Meetings

A modest recent history provides little clarity on a long-term trend, but the decisive patterns still favour Bolton in key areas:

27 Oct 2020: Bolton 1-0 Bradford

05 Sep 2020: Bolton 1-2 Bradford

24 Sep 2016: Bolton 0-0 Bradford

Meetings have historically been tight, low-scoring and defined by narrow margins. However, Football Park’s modelling shows a clear performance gulf in the present context, with Bolton profiling as the more organised and threatening side in every advanced scenario. Bradford’s away metrics are particularly concerning relative to Bolton’s strong probability indicators.

Best Bolton vs Bradford Betting Tips

Football Park’s algorithm delivers two standout betting selections based purely on probability strength and market value.

Bolton Win – 1.75

With a 61.7 percent probability, Bolton to Win is the highest-rated selection. The hosts outperform Bradford significantly across expected goals, attacking phases, and projected match control.

Over 2.5 Goals – 1.70

Rated at 61.3 percent, this selection aligns closely with the projected 3-0 Correct Score. Bolton’s attacking metrics support multiple scoring opportunities, and the model expects sustained pressure throughout both halves.

For more expert-driven EFL betting insights, browse Football Park’s full predictions portfolio.

Bolton vs Bradford Match Facts

Referee: The official assignment will be confirmed ahead of kick-off, with in-play impact projections updated accordingly.

Broadcast Information: Coverage available across standard EFL domestic and international streaming platforms.

Stadium Notes: The Toughsheet Community Stadium has consistently favoured proactive home sides, and Football Park’s algorithm expects Bolton to capitalise with a dominant territorial and possession profile.

Bolton vs Bradford Timeline: Predicted Match Flow

The match simulation forecasts an assertive start from Bolton, with 1.32 expected first-half goals and a strong 63.3 percent halftime lead probability. Bradford may defend deep early, attempting to reduce space between midfield and defence, but Bolton’s attacking structure is modelled to break through before the interval.

In the second half, Bolton are projected to widen the gap further. Their edge in expected shot volume, box entries and wing-channel efficiency strongly informs the predicted 3-0 full-time scoreline. While Bradford have a 58.3 percent chance of scoring, the model suggests their opportunities come sporadically and with limited conversion value.

Bolton’s dominance across momentum and threat phases underpins the high confidence in a home victory.

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