English League One


Home Win
Leyton Orient 2 - 0 Blackpool
Who will win?
1

Leyton Orient
x
Draw
2

Blackpool
Leyton Orient host Blackpool on 22 November 2025 at 15:00 GMT, with Football Park’s advanced prediction model signalling one of the clearest favourites of the League One weekend. Following the analytical style used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, this breakdown delivers a full data-driven preview built on probability outputs, market value and historical match patterns.
Our early recommended betting angle is Leyton Orient to Win at 1.80, supported by a commanding 82.3 percent home-win probability and a projected 2-0 scoreline from the model. With Blackpool forecast to struggle for clear chances, this match is shaped strongly in favour of the hosts.
Football Park’s algorithm presents one of the most decisive probability splits of the matchday:
Home Win: 82.3 percent
Away Win: 17.7 percent
Draw: 0 percent
Orient’s attacking projection of 1.60 expected goals far exceeds Blackpool’s 0.60, while the 48.9 percent BTTS probability reinforces the likelihood of the visitors failing to find a breakthrough.
The Correct Score model – 2-0 – aligns with the key total-goals metrics:
Expected Match Goals: 2.20
Over 2.5 Goals: 56.8 percent
Over 1.5 Goals: 56.8 percent
First-half projections (0.82 expected goals) suggest a controlled, low-tempo opening with Orient taking charge after the interval, consistent with the Draw/Home HT/FT outcome.
Recent history reinforces the algorithm’s home-side advantage:
09 Nov 2024: Leyton Orient 3-0 Blackpool
27 Feb 2024: Leyton Orient 1-0 Blackpool
19 Nov 2016: Leyton Orient 1-2 Blackpool
Orient have kept clean sheets in their last two meetings, winning both without allowing significant attacking threat from Blackpool—mirroring the current model projection of another comfortable defensive performance.
These are the two highest-rated probability-based selections from Football Park’s modelling:
Leyton Orient to Win – 1.80
With an 82.3 percent win probability, this is the clearest angle in the entire match. The hosts outperform Blackpool by every major attacking and defensive metric.
Over 2.5 Goals – 1.80
Although the match leans strongly towards Orient control, Over 2.5 Goals carries a 56.8 percent probability and aligns with the projected 2.20 match-goals total and a realistic pathway to a 2-1 or 3-0 outcome.
For more League One betting angles, explore Football Park’s dedicated predictions hub.
Referee: To be announced. Referee tendencies will be incorporated into updated projections once confirmed.
Broadcast Information: Available via standard EFL broadcast partners and compatible domestic streaming platforms.
Stadium: Brisbane Road remains one of League One’s most compact, high-pressure environments. Orient’s strong home momentum aligns with the ground’s favourable conditions for sustained territorial control.
With 56 percent probability of a goalless first half-hour, the model anticipates a cautious opening. Leyton Orient are expected to assert dominance gradually before capitalising in the second half. The Draw/Home HT-FT projection reflects a match where Blackpool resist early pressure but lose structural shape as Orient increase tempo in the final third.
The Football Park algorithm shapes a clear narrative: limited danger from Blackpool, sustained control from the hosts and a deserved Leyton Orient win.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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