Home Win
Lincoln 2 - 1 Exeter City
Who will win?
1
Lincoln
x
Draw
2
Exeter City
Lincoln City host Exeter City at the LNER Stadium on October 4, 2025 (15:00 GMT) in a League One fixture where the Football Park algorithm points to a clear home advantage. With a 53.3% chance of victory for Lincoln, the data highlights their superior attacking output and solid defensive structure as decisive factors.
Our algorithm-based preview — as seen in features like San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips — combines over 200 data points to deliver high-confidence projections. The model anticipates Lincoln’s control of proceedings, with a 2-0 scoreline emerging as the most likely outcome. Exeter, meanwhile, are given only a 13.3% chance of winning, which underlines the challenge they face on the road.
For bettors, this clash offers clear opportunities, particularly on the outright market and total goals, with Lincoln expected to dominate in a controlled yet decisive fashion.
Football Park’s advanced algorithm projects the following outcomes:
Lincoln Win Probability: 53.3%
Draw Probability: 33.3%
Exeter City Win Probability: 13.3%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-0 Lincoln
With expected goals split at 1.5 for Lincoln and 0.6 for Exeter, the model suggests the Imps should have the upper hand in both territory and conversion.
Our in-house betting analysts recommend the following two high-percentage selections:
Lincoln to Win @ 1.75 – Backed by a 53.3% probability, Lincoln’s home advantage and stronger attacking metrics provide solid betting value.
Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.60 – With just a 20% probability of four or more goals, this fixture trends towards a more disciplined, mid-scoring outcome.
Together, these represent the most reliable value from a data-driven betting perspective.
22 Mar 2025 // Lincoln 0-0 Exeter City
17 Feb 2024 // Lincoln 1-0 Exeter City
30 Jul 2022 // Lincoln 1-1 Exeter City
26 Feb 2019 // Lincoln 1-1 Exeter City
12 May 2018 // Lincoln 0-0 Exeter City
30 Mar 2018 // Lincoln 3-2 Exeter City
Head-to-head history suggests tight encounters, with Lincoln frequently edging out Exeter in low-scoring games at the LNER Stadium.
Official Lincoln vs Exeter City lineups will be released approximately one hour before kick-off. Football Park will provide complete coverage once confirmed.
Lincoln Win Probability: 53.3%
Most Likely Scoreline: 2-0 Lincoln
BTTS Probability: 53.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Lincoln/Lincoln
The algorithm expects Lincoln to establish control early, with a strong 46.7% chance of leading at half-time and maintaining that dominance until full-time.
Competition: England League One
Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
Kick-Off: 15:00 GMT
Venue: LNER Stadium, Lincoln
Broadcast: Available via EFL streaming platforms and selected UK broadcasters.
Football betting should always be approached responsibly. While Football Park’s predictions indicate value on a Lincoln home win, football remains unpredictable. Please bet within your means and consider setting limits before placing wagers.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our algorithm-led insights are designed to help you identify value, reduce risk, and bet smarter.
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