English League One
Home Win
Plymouth 2 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Who will win?
1
Plymouth
x
Draw
2
AFC Wimbledon
Plymouth host AFC Wimbledon on 18 October 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 GMT, in a crucial England League One fixture. Football Park’s advanced predictive algorithm, which assesses over 200 performance indicators including form, tactical patterns, and historical match data, has highlighted strong betting angles for this encounter. With Plymouth tipped to win at 1.97 odds, and Both Teams to Score priced at 1.91, this clash presents excellent value opportunities for bettors seeking informed, data-backed selections.
Recent meetings between these two sides suggest a competitive fixture, but Plymouth’s strong home record and statistical edge make them firm favourites to secure all three points. Football Park’s model integrates probability forecasts with betting market value to give readers a strategic edge ahead of Saturday’s kick-off.
The Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon timeline shows that the hosts have dominated recent home encounters, winning their last three meetings at Home Park without conceding:
While AFC Wimbledon have taken points in earlier years, Plymouth have asserted dominance in recent fixtures, particularly at home, where they’ve won four of the last five meetings.
Football Park’s algorithm strongly favours a Plymouth win (66.7%), with the draw probability at 13.3% and an away win at 20%. The expected scoreline is 2-1, highlighting both Plymouth’s attacking strength and AFC Wimbledon’s potential to find the net. Key predictive metrics include:
Expected Home Goals: 2.2
Expected Away Goals: 1.2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 63.3%
Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 80%
Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 80%
Half-Time/Full-Time: Home/Home
This data suggests a fast-paced encounter, with Plymouth likely to take control early. The expected first-half goals of 1.67 indicate the potential for early action in the opening 45 minutes, supporting first-half goal markets.
Based on the statistical model and market value, Football Park recommends the following two top-rated bets:
Plymouth to Win @ 1.97 – With a 66.7% probability and a strong home record, this bet provides excellent value. Plymouth have consistently beaten AFC Wimbledon at home, and their attacking output aligns well with the algorithm’s projections.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 – Given a 63.3% probability and Plymouth’s tendency to concede while winning, this market aligns with the predicted 2-1 correct score and offers a balanced risk-to-reward profile.
Both selections are rooted in data and supported by historical trends, making them ideal options for bettors seeking well-researched, strategic plays.
The Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon timeline is expected to follow a familiar pattern, with the hosts asserting dominance early on. Football Park’s model assigns a 46.7% chance of a home lead at half-time, increasing to a likely home win by full-time.
This timeline points towards a dynamic game with Plymouth setting the tempo and AFC Wimbledon playing catch-up.
Referee: TBC – The appointed referee will oversee this League One clash, with consistency and discipline expected.
Venue: Home Park, Plymouth. A ground where the hosts have been historically strong, particularly in head-to-head meetings against AFC Wimbledon.
Broadcast: Selected regional UK broadcasters and streaming services are expected to cover the match. Fans should check local schedules for live viewing options.
These contextual factors are crucial for bettors considering environmental influences such as home advantage and match tempo.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our expert team combines statistical modelling, tactical analysis, and market insight to deliver accurate, data-driven predictions designed to give bettors an edge.
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