Home Win
Plymouth 2 - 1 Peterborough
Who will win?
1
Plymouth
x
Draw
2
Peterborough
The England League One serves up a compelling clash on 20 September 2025 at 15:00 GMT, as Plymouth Argyle welcome Peterborough United to Home Park. This fixture brings together two sides with very different statistical outlooks, with Plymouth enjoying the clear algorithm-backed advantage. Football Park’s model, the same predictive framework used in fixtures like San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield, strongly leans toward a home victory.
With a 73.3% chance of victory, Plymouth are forecast to dominate proceedings, particularly with their attacking edge at Home Park. Peterborough, however, carry a 26.7% upset probability and a history of occasionally frustrating Plymouth in head-to-heads. Goals are expected, with the algorithm projecting a lively encounter that should suit those eyeing over markets.
Home Win Probability: 73.30%
Draw Probability: 0.00%
Away Win Probability: 26.70%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Plymouth
Plymouth to Win @ 1.90 – Strongest algorithm recommendation, backed by dominant 73.3% probability.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 – With expected goals at 3.1, a high-scoring match is strongly favoured.
Expected Match Goals: 3.10 – High compared to league averages.
First Half Projection: 73% chance of at least one goal in the opening 45 minutes.
Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Home/Home – Plymouth to assert control early and maintain their advantage.
Key Trend: Six of the last seven head-to-heads produced at least two goals, with multiple high-scoring results.
13 Aug 2022: Plymouth 2-0 Peterborough
10 Aug 2022: Plymouth 0-2 Peterborough
23 Feb 2021: Plymouth 0-3 Peterborough
25 Aug 2018: Plymouth 1-5 Peterborough
07 Apr 2018: Plymouth 2-1 Peterborough
Insight: While Plymouth secured a comfortable 2-0 win in their most recent meeting, Peterborough have historically enjoyed success in this fixture, making the algorithm’s strong lean towards Plymouth all the more significant.
Home Win @ 1.90 – Strongest value, supported by data.
Draw @ 3.60 – Not supported by algorithm (0% probability).
Away Win @ 3.75 – Plausible, but low-probability play.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 – Solid value given projected 3.1 goals.
Correct Score Value: 2-1 Plymouth – Consistent with model prediction.
Plymouth to Win @ 1.90 – Best backed selection with overwhelming probability.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 – High-scoring trends and projections make this a strong complementary market.
Venue: Home Park, Plymouth
Date & Kick-off: 20 September 2025, 15:00 GMT
Correct Score Prediction: Plymouth 2-1 Peterborough
Broadcast Details: Domestic coverage via Sky Sports, with international streams available through EFL partners.
Football Park predictions are built on statistical modelling and probability data. They are guides to value markets, not guarantees. Always bet responsibly and within your limits.
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