English League One


Over 1.5
Port Vale 1 - 1 Blackpool
Who will win?
1

Port Vale
x
Draw
2

Blackpool
Port Vale welcome Blackpool to Vale Park on 1 January 2026 in a League One clash kicking off at 15:00 GMT, with both sides looking to begin the new year on the front foot. Football Park’s data model points toward a tight contest, but the numbers highlight Over 1.5 Match Goals at 1.33 as the strongest value angle heading into this fixture. With both teams showing enough attacking consistency to suggest at least two goals, this represents the clearest edge identified by our algorithm heading into the match.
Port Vale have enjoyed the stronger recent record in this fixture, including a convincing 3-0 victory in December 2023. Prior clashes have been more evenly matched, with Blackpool claiming narrow wins in 2020 and 2015, while Vale edged a 2-0 success earlier that same year. The historical trend suggests competitive games, with both clubs typically producing close margins at Vale Park.
Football Park’s advanced model, built from over 200 performance variables, shows little separating the two sides. Both Port Vale and Blackpool sit on equal win probabilities at 43.30%, underlining the difficulty in identifying a clear match-winner. The algorithm predicts a low-scoring encounter, with expected match goals at 2.40 and a Correct Score projection of 0-0. Despite this, the model still gives a 90% chance of the match producing at least one goal and 55% for surpassing the 1.5-goal mark, making that market the standout selection.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 1.5 Match Goals @ 1.33 Our team highlight this as the strongest percentage-backed selection available. While the win probabilities are evenly split, the model consistently expects at least two goals in this fixture, making this a reliable and statistically supported betting angle.
The second-highest rated algorithm selection points toward Over 0.5 First Half Goals, with a 43% likelihood of landing. The odds of 1.44 offer reasonable value considering both teams’ tendency to start matches positively, even if overall scoring expectation is modest.
Referee appointments and broadcast details position this as one of the key fixtures in the New Year schedule. Supporters can expect a cautious opening period, given the high probability of a level scoreline at half-time (56.70%), but tactical adjustments after the interval may open up the match. Historically, these two clubs rarely play out stalemates, meaning even with the model’s conservative goal projection, there remains scope for progression in the second half.
Across their meetings over the past decade, this fixture has tended to produce definitive outcomes rather than extended periods of parity. Port Vale’s recent dominance, alongside Blackpool’s intermittent ability to break them down, frames this encounter as another potentially well-balanced affair destined to hinge on fine margins.
The predicted lineups for this fixture will be available closer to kick-off, but both managers are expected to rely on familiar structures that have brought competitive performances throughout the season.
The timeline leading into this match shows Port Vale stabilising defensively and Blackpool looking to regain consistency in the final third. This dynamic supports the data-driven prediction for a narrow-margin contest where opportunities are likely to emerge after the break.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

Contact Sales