BTTS Yes
Port Vale 2 - 3 Mansfield Town
Who will win?
1
Port Vale
x
Draw
2
Mansfield Town
England League One action continues on 20 September 2025 at 15:00 GMT, when Port Vale host Mansfield Town at Vale Park. This fixture brings two sides with attacking profiles that promise an entertaining contest. Football Park’s data-driven model, which uses the same advanced framework applied in fixtures like San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield, leans toward a high-scoring encounter with both teams finding the net.
The algorithm rates Mansfield Town with a narrow edge in win probability, but Port Vale’s strong home scoring record keeps this clash finely balanced. With a 66.7% chance of Both Teams to Score and nearly 3 expected match goals, bettors can expect an open game with plenty of chances at both ends.
Home Win Probability: 33.30%
Draw Probability: 26.70%
Away Win Probability: 40.00%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-3 Mansfield Town
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.40 – The strongest value play, with a 60% over 2.5 projection and high BTTS probability.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.80 – Backed by a 66.7% likelihood, this is a consistent outcome in similar matchups.
Expected Goals (Match Total): 2.90
First Half Projection: 67% chance of at least one goal before half-time.
Half-Time/Full-Time Prediction: Draw/Away – Mansfield tipped to finish stronger after an even first half.
Key Trend: Six of the last seven meetings have produced two or more goals, reinforcing the over goals market.
15 Mar 2022: Port Vale 3-1 Mansfield Town
08 May 2021: Port Vale 0-3 Mansfield Town
21 Sep 2019: Port Vale 2-2 Mansfield Town
09 Mar 2019: Port Vale 2-1 Mansfield Town
21 Nov 2017: Port Vale 0-4 Mansfield Town
04 Oct 2016: Port Vale 0-1 Mansfield Town
Insight: Recent history shows a balance of results, with both clubs enjoying decisive wins. Importantly, high-scoring outcomes have been frequent, in line with the algorithm’s outlook.
Home Win @ 2.15 – Respectable value but not supported by stronger probability.
Away Win @ 3.50 – Slight algorithm lean, offering higher odds for risk-seekers.
Draw @ 3.20 – Viable, but lower percentage than a decisive outcome.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.05 – Excellent standalone play with expected goals at 2.9.
Correct Score Value: 2-3 Mansfield Town – Consistent with model projections.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.40 – Top Football Park recommendation.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.80 – A high-confidence market based on statistical backing.
Venue: Vale Park, Stoke-on-Trent
Date & Kick-off: 20 September 2025, 15:00 GMT
Correct Score Prediction: Mansfield Town 3-2 Port Vale
Broadcast Details: Available via domestic EFL broadcast partners and international streaming providers.
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