Home Win
Rotherham 2 - 1 Bradford
Who will win?
1
Rotherham
x
Draw
2
Bradford
The spotlight falls on Rotherham vs Bradford at the New York Stadium on February 4, 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:45 GMT. This Yorkshire clash carries plenty of history and intensity, with both sides desperate to claim bragging rights. Matches between the two clubs have often been physical and fiercely contested, but recent years suggest Rotherham hold the upper hand at home.
At Football Park, our advanced algorithm processes over 200 statistical data points to generate accurate predictions. For this fixture, the model points towards a narrow Rotherham advantage, but with Bradford expected to push them hard. In this preview, we break down the previous meetings, algorithm-driven forecasts, and our two best betting tips to give you an edge ahead of kick-off.
Looking at the Rotherham vs Bradford timeline, the head-to-head record has been one-sided in recent years:
Bradford’s most recent win away at Rotherham broke a long streak of dominance by the Millers, who had gone six straight home fixtures unbeaten against their rivals before 2025. Historically, Rotherham have controlled this matchup, particularly on home turf.
Football Park’s algorithm forecasts a closely contested game with Rotherham favoured:
Home Win Probability: 46.7%
Away Win Probability: 33.3%
Draw Probability: 20.0%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 53.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60.0%
Most Likely Correct Score: 2-1 Rotherham
The data suggests a 2-1 home win as the most likely outcome, underpinned by Rotherham’s strong home record against Bradford. The algorithm also highlights a 46.7% chance of a half-time Rotherham lead, further boosting confidence in the home side.
From Football Park’s model, two standout betting selections emerge:
Supported by a 46.7% probability of success.
Historically dominant at home in this fixture, with multiple clean-sheet victories.
The odds provide strong value compared to the model’s confidence.
Backed by a 60% probability.
Four of the last six Rotherham vs Bradford matches have seen three or more goals.
With both teams expected to score, overs markets present excellent value.
Responsible Gambling Note: Football Park predictions are based on data models, but football is unpredictable. Always stake sensibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
Referee: To be confirmed by the EFL before matchday.
Venue: New York Stadium, Rotherham – a compact 12,000-capacity ground known for its intimidating atmosphere during derby fixtures.
Broadcast Details: Coverage available through Sky Sports in the UK, with international streaming available via EFL partners.
Confirmed Rotherham vs Bradford lineups will be available closer to kick-off, but the algorithm projects:
Over 0.5 First-Half Goals – 73% probability
Over 1.5 First-Half Goals – 40% probability
Half-Time/Full-Time – Draw/Home emerges as a statistically viable outcome, with Rotherham tipped to grow into the match.
The timeline of past meetings also supports Rotherham’s home dominance, with Bradford’s 2025 victory an exception rather than the rule. Expect Rotherham to apply pressure early and Bradford to look for counter-attacking chances.
When comparing odds to algorithm probabilities:
Home Win @ 3.30 – Undervalued by bookmakers, strong value given 46.7% probability.
Away Win @ 2.15 – Not supported by model confidence (33.3%).
Draw @ 3.40 – Lower chance at 20%, limited appeal.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.70 – Moderate confidence at 53.3%, not the strongest play.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 – Attractive price with 60% probability.
Combination bettors may also find value in a Rotherham Win + Over 2.5 Goals market, aligned with the model’s 2-1 correct score prediction.
Unlike opinion-led previews, Football Park is driven by advanced algorithm modelling, analysing over 200 match data points, including:
Historical head-to-head trends
Goal probability patterns
Half-time/full-time outcome likelihoods
Market odds vs statistical probability differences
This approach ensures every tip is grounded in objective, data-led insights.
For related expert coverage, explore:
EFL betting predictions
League One & League Two weekend tips
Non-League football betting previews
Football Park’s algorithm predicts a Rotherham victory in a high-energy, goal-filled contest. With strong historical dominance and home advantage, the Millers are well placed to edge a competitive clash.
Football Park Best Bet: Rotherham to Win @ 3.30
Second Pick: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.90
Expect a lively encounter, with the most likely correct scoreline landing at 2-1 to Rotherham.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
Stay up to date with our expert previews and algorithm-driven betting insights to get the most out of your wagers.
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