BTTS Yes
Rotherham 2 - 1 Stockport County
Who will win?
1
Rotherham
x
Draw
2
Stockport County
Rotherham welcome Stockport County to the New York Stadium on 20 September 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 GMT in what promises to be a fascinating England League One encounter. Both sides have shown contrasting approaches this season, and Football Park’s algorithm, similar to its framework used in previews like San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield, highlights this clash as one where Rotherham’s resilience could prove decisive.
With Rotherham backed by a strong 50% win probability and Stockport carrying just 13.3%, the data tilts towards a positive result for the hosts, though the draw remains a significant factor at 36.7%. Our model projects a 2-1 correct scoreline, with both teams expected to get on the scoresheet. Bettors should watch for goals, as over 2.5 match goals have a 55% probability.
Home Win Probability: 50.00%
Draw Probability: 36.70%
Away Win Probability: 13.30%
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Rotherham
Rotherham Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.70 – Strong 86.7% probability of avoiding defeat, offering excellent safety value.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 – At 71.7% likelihood, this market reflects high confidence in goals at both ends.
Expected Goals: 2.60 overall, split 1.40 for Rotherham and 1.20 for Stockport.
First Half Trends: 93% chance of at least one goal before the break, with a 43% chance of two or more.
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Home/Home – Rotherham tipped to lead early and hold on.
High-Probability Market: Both Teams to Score & Home Win – supported by a 57.2% chance.
29 Dec 2024: Rotherham 1-1 Stockport County
03 Dec 2021: Rotherham 1-0 Stockport County
Insight: Rotherham are unbeaten in their last two home fixtures against Stockport, with both matches seeing the hosts score first. The algorithm leans towards a repeat of that dominance here.
Home Win @ 3.40 – Priced generously, though the double chance provides safer value.
Away Win @ 2.10 – Odds suggest competitiveness, but the low 13.3% projection warns against.
Draw @ 3.50 – Respectable value given the 36.7% chance, making it a potential cover bet.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.05 – 55% probability makes this a balanced goals market.
Correct Score Value: 2-1 Rotherham – aligns perfectly with projections.
Rotherham Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.70 – The algorithm’s highest-value pick.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.91 – Consistently supported by data, with a strong 71.7% likelihood.
Venue: New York Stadium, Rotherham
Date & Kick-off: 20 September 2025, 15:00 GMT
Predicted Outcome: Rotherham 2-1 Stockport County
Broadcast: Coverage available via EFL broadcast partners and international streaming platforms.
All betting insights are driven by Football Park’s statistical model, built to identify long-term value. Please gamble responsibly and only stake amounts you can afford to lose.
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