English League One


BTTS Yes
Stevenage 3 - 2 Doncaster
Who will win?
1

Stevenage
x
Draw
2

Doncaster
Stevenage welcome Doncaster to the Lamex Stadium on 22 November 2025 at 15:00 GMT, with the Football Park algorithm projecting one of the most open, attack-leaning fixtures of the League One weekend. Using the same model-driven approach showcased in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, this preview evaluates probabilities, past meetings and market value to deliver accurate, data-backed insight.
Our recommended early betting angle is Both Teams to Score at 1.95, supported by a powerful 67.8 percent BTTS probability and an expected goals projection of 3.20 total match goals. With both sides offering strong offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities, the numbers point towards an end-to-end contest.
Football Park’s algorithm finds very little between the two sides in terms of outright probabilities:
Home Win: 44.3 percent
Away Win: 42.3 percent
Draw: 13.3 percent
This near-even split indicates a competitive matchup, but the more significant story is in the goal metrics:
Expected Home Goals: 1.80
Expected Away Goals: 1.50
Both Teams to Score: 67.8 percent
Over 2.5 Goals: 56.8 percent
The model’s projected 3-2 Correct Score illustrates the anticipated volatility. A Draw/Home halftime–full-time outcome (high first-half draw probability of 37.7 percent) suggests Stevenage may take control late on.
Their recent encounters offer further support for a high-event contest:
18 Apr 2023: Stevenage 1-0 Doncaster
03 Dec 2016: Stevenage 3-4 Doncaster
12 Jan 2013: Stevenage 1-2 Doncaster
Six of the last nine goals in this fixture at the Lamex came from the away side, but Stevenage have consistently generated chances at home—an important factor reflected in their strong attacking projection (1.80 expected goals).
Here are the two highest-rated value selections based on Football Park’s probability model:
Both Teams to Score – 1.95
With a 67.8 percent BTTS probability, this is the standout value play. Neither side is expected to keep control defensively, and the model anticipates sustained attacking spells for both teams.
Over 2.5 Goals – 2.15
Supported by a 56.8 percent probability, this bet aligns strongly with the 3.20 expected match goals projection. Ideal for bettors seeking a higher-yield goals market backed by consistent model confidence.
For more EFL betting recommendations, see Football Park’s League One predictions section.
Referee: To be confirmed, with officiating data integrated into Football Park’s algorithm once announced.
How to Watch: Available across standard EFL domestic broadcast partners and compatible live-streaming platforms.
Stadium Information: The Lamex Stadium frequently produces high-tempo football, and Stevenage's pressing structure typically creates turnover-based chances—conditions that increase volatility and align with the model’s high-scoring projection.
With 1.31 expected first-half goals, both sides are projected to start aggressively. A tight opening period should give way to a more stretched second half, where Stevenage’s stronger late-game metrics could prove decisive.
The Football Park model anticipates a chaotic, chance-heavy encounter—reflected in the 3-2 predicted scoreline and strong BTTS and Over 2.5 probabilities.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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