English League One


Home Win
Stockport County 2 - 1 Lincoln
Who will win?
1

Stockport County
x
Draw
2

Lincoln
Stockport County host Lincoln at Edgeley Park on 26 December 2025 at 15:00 in a League One clash that promises intensity, goals and a significant impact on the festive fixture schedule. Following the Football Park analytical template seen in previews such as San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, this matchup is shaped by clear algorithm-driven trends pointing toward a strong home performance. The highlighted betting tip of choice is Stockport County Win at 2.05, supported by their 46.70% victory probability and consistent attacking metrics. With both sides showing a tendency toward open matches and early goals, this preview examines the key data, historical context and betting angles that define Stockport County vs Lincoln predictions.
Historical momentum firmly leans toward Stockport, with their last three meetings all ending in home victories. The most recent encounter in April 2025 finished 3-2, a high-energy contest that showcased Stockport’s ability to capitalise on transitions and maintain pressure throughout. Earlier meetings in 2013 and 2012 reflected similar dominance, with Stockport winning 2-0 and 4-0 respectively. This long-standing trend aligns closely with the Football Park model, which again favours the hosts in a fixture where they have repeatedly dictated tempo and created the higher-quality chances.
Football Park’s predictive model signals a competitive but home-leaning encounter. Stockport hold a 46.70% win probability compared to Lincoln’s 20.00%, with a 33.30% chance of a draw. The algorithm expects a lively match defined by attacking exchanges, projecting 3.00 expected match goals, fuelled by early pressure and a strong 82% probability of over 0.5 first-half goals. Stockport are forecast to score around 1.80 goals, reflecting their strong home output, while Lincoln’s expected 1.20 suggests they remain a threat despite their lower overall win probability. The most likely result is a 2-1 home victory, supported by strong data for both early and late scoring phases.
Football Park’s top two percentage-rated selections for this match are:
The model’s home-win probability of 46.70% makes this the most valuable selection. Stockport’s attacking consistency, strong historical matchup record and home advantage combine to create favourable conditions for this bet.
With a 62.20% BTTS probability, this market offers strong value. Lincoln’s away scoring profile and Stockport’s openness in transitional phases point toward a match where both sides convert chances, aligning with the projected 3.00 total match goals.
As always, bettors should stake sensibly, particularly in fixtures where attacking variance can shape late outcomes.
Edgeley Park traditionally produces assertive home performances, and the data suggests another high-energy contest. With 56% likelihood of over 1.5 first-half goals and a 51% chance of Lincoln leading at half-time despite their lower full-time probability, the model anticipates a dynamic flow influenced heavily by early attacking exchanges. Stockport’s ability to overturn match states is well reflected in their away/home half-time to full-time pattern, which favours an Away/Home scenario. Broadcast coverage will be available through standard League One rights providers across domestic and international platforms.
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