English League One


Away Win
Wigan 1 - 2 Stevenage
Who will win?
1

Wigan
x
Draw
2

Stevenage
Wigan welcome Stevenage to the DW Stadium on 29 November 2025 at 15:00 GMT, with Football Park’s data model strongly favouring the visitors in what projects to be a controlled, disciplined away performance. Following the San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips structure, we highlight the key betting tip early: Stevenage Double Chance (Win or Draw) at 1.53, validated by a commanding 50% away-win probability and 30% chance of a draw, giving the visitors a combined 80% likelihood of avoiding defeat.
Wigan’s attacking output is forecast to remain limited, while Stevenage’s organisation and set-piece reliability shape a matchup tilted toward a low-scoring, cagey away-driven contest.
The Wigan vs Stevenage timeline points toward a tight, methodical match that may take time to open up. With 63% probability of a first-half goal and an even 50% likelihood of a half-time draw, both sides are expected to feel their way into the game through compact defensive structures.
Stevenage’s projected advantage increases as the match develops, supported by their stronger expected-goal share and clearer attacking pathways. The model’s Draw/Away full-time progression reflects an encounter where Stevenage gradually take control through defensive discipline, sustained pressure and more reliable final-third execution.
Recent Wigan vs Stevenage matches reinforce the away side’s growing confidence in this fixture. A 2-3 Stevenage victory and a 0-0 draw across their 2024 meetings underline their ability to frustrate Wigan and exploit decisive moments. Wigan have struggled to break down Stevenage’s compact shape historically, frequently finding themselves forced into low-danger possession.
With Stevenage again projected to manage transitions more effectively and restrict Wigan’s central creativity, Football Park’s model aligns with this established pattern, forecasting a 0-2 correct score and another result shaped by Stevenage’s structural superiority.
The Wigan vs Stevenage predictions model gives the visitors a clear upper hand with a 50% win probability, compared to Wigan’s 20%. Expected goals lean Stevenage’s way (1.20 to 0.90), reinforcing their advantage.
A relatively modest attacking rhythm is expected overall, with 87.50% Over 0.5 Goals, 52.50% Over 1.5 Goals, and only 27.50% Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting a match more likely to trend toward controlled territory battles than end-to-end volatility. BTTS sits at 55%, suggesting Stevenage are the side more likely to produce consistent threat, while Wigan may need opportunistic moments to stay competitive.
Football Park’s top two percentage-rated selections for this match are:
Over 0.5 Match Goals, supported by an 87.50% probability, offering the safest statistical angle.
Stevenage Double Chance (Win or Draw) at 1.53, backed by a combined 80% model likelihood and Stevenage’s clear structural advantage.
Stevenage’s defensive clarity and ball-winning patterns align well with the DW Stadium’s tempo, where compact mid-blocks often thrive. With Wigan predicted to rely heavily on isolated attacking phases, Stevenage’s capacity to control territory and limit central progression further solidifies their projected upper hand.
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