English League One


Home Win
Wycombe 2 - 0 Lincoln
Who will win?
1

Wycombe
x
Draw
2

Lincoln
Wycombe host Lincoln at Adams Park on 22 November 2025 at 15:00 GMT, with Football Park’s predictive model showing a strong advantage for the home side. Using the same data-led structure featured in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, this preview evaluates probabilities, historic performance and market value to identify the best angles for bettors.
Our early betting recommendation is Wycombe to Win at 1.90, supported by a compelling 60 percent home-win probability and a model-projected 2-0 Correct Score. With Wycombe expected to control the tempo and generate the better scoring opportunities, this represents one of the most reliable value selections in the League One schedule.
Football Park’s algorithm clearly favours Wycombe, projecting a 60 percent win probability, compared to 13.3 percent for Lincoln and 26.7 percent for the draw.
Supporting data from the model:
Expected Home Goals: 1.60
Expected Away Goals: 0.70
Both Teams to Score: 50 percent
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 80 percent
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 40 percent
The model’s 2-0 Correct Score aligns with Wycombe’s strong attacking metrics and Lincoln’s limited goal projection. The Home/Home halftime–full-time outcome (53.3 percent HT home win probability) further strengthens the case for Wycombe dominance across both halves.
Wycombe’s home record against Lincoln has been consistently strong, with just one visiting win in their recent head-to-head series:
29 Mar 2025: Wycombe 1-0 Lincoln
13 Jan 2024: Wycombe 1-1 Lincoln
22 Apr 2023: Wycombe 0-2 Lincoln
21 Aug 2021: Wycombe 1-0 Lincoln
07 Sep 2019: Wycombe 3-1 Lincoln
05 Aug 2017: Wycombe 2-2 Lincoln
Wycombe have scored in all home meetings since 2017, often starting strongly and setting the tempo early—precisely the pattern Football Park’s model anticipates for this fixture.
Based on the highest-rated probability edges from the Football Park algorithm, the following two bets offer the strongest value:
Wycombe Win – 1.90
With a 60 percent probability, Wycombe are a clear model-backed selection. Their superior expected goal output and strong historical record at Adams Park provide a stable foundation for this outcome.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS – 2.40
While the model’s Correct Score leans 2-0, the overall probability distribution highlights a 40 percent Over 2.5 rating and a 50 percent BTTS figure. This combination is ideal for bettors seeking a higher-priced selection with statistical support.
For more League One predictions, visit Football Park’s dedicated EFL insights hub.
Referee: To be confirmed closer to kick-off, with Football Park adjusting match projections when officiating data becomes available.
Broadcast Information: Available on EFL broadcast platforms and associated digital streaming services.
Stadium Notes: Adams Park has traditionally given Wycombe a significant edge in this matchup. Their transitional play and set-piece threat typically translate into high-quality chances, particularly in home fixtures against compact defensive sides like Lincoln.
With 1.13 expected first-half goals, Wycombe are projected to start on the front foot and carry early territorial control. Lincoln’s limited attacking projection suggests long spells spent defending, with the contest tilting further in Wycombe’s favour during the second half.
The model anticipates a controlled but decisive Wycombe victory, with consistent pressure eventually producing the 2-0 scoreline forecast by Football Park’s algorithm.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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