Arsenal vs Chelsea Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Arsenal vs Chelsea Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: February 03, 2026 | Emirates Stadium | EFL Cup – Semi-final | 20:00 GMT

We come to you with action from the English League Cup in what is a crucial match for both sides as Chelsea seek what would be an extraordinary comeback against their London foes, while the Gunners are looking for a first trophy since the Community Shield in 2023.

The first leg between the two sides took place at Stamford Bridge, with Arsenal coming out with a 3-2 advantage. Chelsea fought back late on thanks to a standout performance by Alejandro Garnacho, but the Blues remain with a bulk of work to do at the Emirates, requiring a win to send the tie to at least penalties.

Football Park believes this game has the tools to offer up an entertaining clash, and with Chelsea needing a result here, we are backing a goal fest.

Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS at 2.10 odds on Kwiff represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.

odds subject to change.

Alternative Tip: Chelsea to win @ 5.00 - Brilliant odds on offer here from Kwiff, with a Blues win offering up an excellent return if they can overcome their London rivals. Am I suggesting this as an alternative tip because I’m a Chelsea fan? Sure, but there are reasons to back this. The Gunners are renowned for falling short at the final hurdle to put it nicely, and Chelsea have been showing some signs of being clinical under Liam Rosenior, and this will be a statement victory if they can do so.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Lineups

Arsenal Predicted XI (4-3-3): Kepa Arrizabalaga; Jurrien Timber, Gabriel, William Saliba, Ben White; Declan Rice, Martin Zubimendi, Martin Odegaard; Leandro Trossard, Viktor Gyokeres, Noni Madueke.

Team News: Arsenal will almost have a full-strength squad for this crucial fixture, with Max Dowman the only confirmed absentee, while there are worries around Bukayo Saka who may also miss out after being a late omission against Leeds on Saturday.

Chelsea Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez; Marc Cucurella, Trevoh Chalobah, Wesley Fofana, Reece James; Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos; Estevao, Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer; Joao Pedro.

Team News: For the visitors, Levi Colwill, Tosin Adarabioyo, Dario Essugo, and Romeo Lavia will be sidelined for this crucial clash.

Arsenal vs Chelsea: League Cup Story So Far

Arsenal joined the competition in round three, and they have enjoyed a relatively stress-free path to the last four. They got their campaign underway in September, where they defeated Port Vale 2-0 away from home. The following round they routinely beat Brighton 2-0, before they did encounter a tough task against Crystal Palace in the Quarter-final; a contest they would go on to win 8-7 on penalties after two late goals sent the tie in that direction.

As for Chelsea, they had a relatively simple path in terms of teams, but they did have the task of needing to win all their games away from home to get to the last four. They began their campaign at the same stage as Arsenal, by defeating Lincoln City 2-1, before heading to the Molineux, where they would come out on top in a seven-goal thriller, by a 4-3 scoreline. The Blues then travelled to Wales, where they had to work hard for their opening goal, but did win comfortably 3-1 in the end.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Timeline

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

In the last 15 years, these sides have met on 44 occasions. Arsenal edge the overall head-to-head over the course of the last 15 years, winning 17 matches to Chelsea’s 15. In the last five, the Gunners have dominated the fixture, winning three meetings to Chelsea’ zero.

• January 14, 2026: Chelsea 2-3 Arsenal
• November 30, 2025: Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
• March 16, 2025: Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea
• November 10, 2024: Chelsea 1-1 Arsenal
• April 23, 2024: Arsenal 5-0 Chelsea

Arsenal and Chelsea: Recent Matches Analysis

Arsenal Last 5 Matches:

• Arsenal 4-0 Leeds (A)
• Arsenal 3-2 Kairat (H) - Champions League
• Arsenal 2-3 Man United (H)
• Arsenal 3-1 Inter (A) - Champions League
• Arsenal 0-0 Forest (A)

The Gunners have enjoyed a good run of form over the last two weeks. They did slip up last weekend against Manchester United, losing in what was an extraordinary game of football. They have shown some signs of weakness, however, first losing to United before only just squeezing past the worst side in this season’s Champions League, beating Kairat just 3-2, although their side was weakened.

Chelsea Last 5 Matches:

• Chelsea 3-2 West Ham (H)
• Chelsea 3-2 Napoli (A) - Champions League
• Chelsea 3-1 Crystal Palace (A)
• Chelsea 1-0 Pafos (H) - Champions League
• Chelsea 2-0 Brentford (H)

Since the first leg defeat, Chelsea have looked very strong. Defeating an in-form Brentford before going on to glide past Crystal Palace the following week. In Wednesday, the Blues required to go to Naples and win three points if they wanted to secure a top eight spot; they did so, with a heroic second half brace from Joao Pedro, which saw them come from behind to win 3-2.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a goal fest. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Arsenal vs Chelsea Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.10 - Recent form suggests confidence in a goal fest. With a staggering 75% chance of over 2.5 goals being found and a 76.7% chance of goals scored at both ends according to our incredible in-house algorithm, this seems like a strong value option.

Key Players to Watch: Arsenal vs Chelsea

Viktor Gyokeres (Arsenal): The Swede may not have enjoyed the greatest debut season in the Premier League, but in the cup competition’s, he has been outstanding. The 27-year-old has scored four times in Europe and also bagged a goal and an assist in the first leg, so could prove crucial once again this week.

Joao Pedro (Chelsea): Although the Brazilian didn’t contribute much in the first leg, he has since found some brilliant form under Rosenior, scoring four goals in his last four appearances, and could be the deciding factor if the Blues are to win on Tuesday.

Arsenal vs Chelsea Match Facts

Referee: Peter Bankes.

Broadcast Details:

**UK/INT’L: ITV, ITVX, NOW, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, STV ** at 20:00 GMT.

Stadium Information: Located in London, England, the Emirates Stadium can hold up to just over 60,000 supporters, and this venue is expected to be packed in what could be a season-defining clash for both.

Arsenal vs Chelsea: Final Prediction

Arsenal 1-2 Chelsea - Chelsea win 6-5 on penalties