Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Details: January 03, 2026 | American Express Stadium | Premier League | 15:00 GMT

It might be a new year, but for these Premier League teams, there is no rest. In this fixture, two sides both down in the bottom half of the table and on winless streaks clash as the look to reset and start the year with three points.

The hosts come into this game after entertaining West Ham United to 2-2 draw in the capital, in a game which included three first-half penalties. Meanwhile, Burnley head into the new year with a poor performance at home to Newcastle United, losing in, 3-1 fashion.

We are backing a home victory for Brighton here, as both sides look to start the new year off on the right foot.

Key Betting Tip: Brighton to Win at 1.50 odds on TalkSPORT bet represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.

This match looks exciting from a home win outlook. Although both sides are currently experiencing tough winless runs (Brighton are without a win in six, while Burnley haven’t won in 10) and are both desperate to stop the rut. It is quite the tough game to predict, since you never know which type of Brighton will turn up, but we believe that Fabian Hurzeler will ensure his team is ready for the visit of Burnley, and the Seagulls will see this game as one to take with both hands and hope it can kickstart a good run of form. The Clarets have also conceded 24 goals in away games this season – at an average of almost 3 per game. We do not see them scoring that many should the average translate to this game.

odds subject to change.

Alternative Tip: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals – 2.14 - there is some great looking odds from talkSPORT on this market; however, we do not quite believe this holds better value than a home win, as this specific market would not have seen a return in any of their last three meetings. It does look promising to look into, however, so it could one to keep an eye on.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley Lineups

Brighton Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Bart Verburggen; Ferdi Kadioglu, Lewis Dunk, Jan Paul van Hecke, Joel Veltman; James Milner, Yasin Ayari; Maxim De Cuyper, Diego Gomez, Brajan Gruda; Danny Welbeck.

Team News: No one is missing for AFCON, with the Seagulls without Yankuba Minteh, Adam Webster, Solly March and Stefanos Tzimas through injury.

Burnley Predicted XI (3-4-3): Martin Dubravka; Bashir Humphreys, Hjalmar Ekdal, Josh Laurent; Lucas Pires, Florentino, Lesley Ugochukwu, Kyle Walker; Loum Tchaouna, Armando Broja, Marcus Edwards.

Team News: Scott Parker will also be without a few familiar faces to his squad, with a number of players expected to miss this clash. The sidelined players include captain Josh Cullen, alongside Joe Worrall, Esteve, Connor Roberts, Jordan Beyer and Zeki Amdouni.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley Current League Standings

Despite having a rather rocky start to the season for the Seagulls, they have managed to maintain a solid home record this campaign, losing just one of the nine games at the Amex to this point. They have 25 points, just three off seventh place Sunderland too, proving that it will not take much to see them go from looking like an average midtable outfit to a European contender.

As for Burnley, their position just keeps getting more difficult week after week, as they now sit in 19th place and six points adrift from safety. After just three wins all season, their most recent coming in October, they must find some sort of form soon to stay interest in a late survival bid; however, with Manchester United, Liverpool and Tottenham coming up in the next month, it will be difficult for them to stay competitive.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley Head-to-Head Timeline

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

Through the last 15 years, these sides have met on 20 occasions. The fixture does seem to be a deadlock, and it is as even as it can be, with each side winning five each, with 10 draws featuring. In the last five, three draws have occurred, with a win apiece. It is worth noting, however, that these sides haven’t met in around 20 months.

• April 13, 2024: Burnley 1-1 Brighton
• December 9, 2023: Brighton 1-1 Burnley
• February 19, 2022: Brighton 0-3 Burnley
• August 14, 2021: Burnley 1-2 Brighton
• February 6, 2021: Burnley 1-1 Brighton

Brighton & Hove Albion and Burnley: Recent Matches Analysis

Brighton Last 5 Matches:

• Brighton 2-2 West Ham (A)
• Brighton 1-2 Arsenal (A)
• Brighton 0-0 Sunderland (H)
• Brighton 0-2 Liverpool (A)
• Brighton 1-1 West Ham (H)

It was a tricky month of December for the Seagulls, despite not needing to worry about any continental competitions, or even domestic ones for that matter, the Christmas period proved too much, and it has seen them drop a number of places because of this. It is a mixed month for them with fixtures ahead, so they need to continue their strong run of form at home on Saturday.

Burnley Last 5 Matches:

• Burnley 1-3 Newcastle (H)
• Burnley 0-0 Everton (H)
• Burnley 1-1 Bournemouth (A)
• Burnley 2-3 Fulham (H)
• Burnley 1-2 Newcastle (A)

For the Clarets, it has once again been a season to forget so far. It started promisingly, with fans even believing the potential of all three promoted sides staying up – however, a tough December (and November) for them has seen them slip further down into the relegation pit, to the point where they do not only need to end their 10 game winless streak, but also string together some form if they want to survive in the division for the first time since 2021.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley Predictions

Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a home victory. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.

Best Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley Betting Tips

Football Park’s Best Bet: Brighton to Win @ 1.50 - Recent form suggests confidence in a high scoring game. With an 40% chance of both teams to score according to our incredible in-house algorithm, this seems like a strong value option.

Key Players to Watch: Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley

Danny Welbeck (Brighton): After a brief stint spent on the sidelines, the 35-year-old found himself back on the scoresheet on his first start back midweek against the Hammers, bagging a first-half penalty in the 2-2 draw. He has an impressive eight goals from just 12 starts this season and looks like he could be heading for a consecutive season where he returns double-digit goals.

Martin Dubravka (Burnley): There is a reason why the Slovakian is in a lot of players’ FPL teams – because he makes a lot of saves! He will certainly need to be on his A-game on Saturday, as the Clarets will have strong chance of getting something from this clash should they be able to keep sound at the back. He has kept three clean sheets so far and will hope to add to that tally here.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley Match Facts

Referee: Tim Robinson.

Stadium Information: Located in Sussex, England, the American Express Stadium can hold up to just over 31,000 supporters, and this venue is expected to be packed for this clash, with this clash having much at stake for both sides.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley: Final Prediction

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-0 Burnley