English Premier League


Home Win
Burnley 0 - 3 Chelsea
Who will win?
1

Burnley
x
Draw
2

Chelsea
Match Details: November 22 2025, | Turf Moor, | Premier League - Round 12 | 12:30 GMT
The early kick off on Saturday sees a clash between the top and bottom of the table as Chelsea look to put some pressure on Arsenal before they play them next week. Whereas Burnley are looking to put some points between them and the relegation zone with a win they can finally have some breathing room. Our advanced algorithm has predicted a 3-0 win for Chelsea in this Premier League clash.
Key Betting Tip: Over 2.5 goals in this game at 1.80 odds – this represents excellent vale based on tips provided by our in-house tipsters.
Burnley starting XI (4-2-3-1): Dubravka, Hartman, Esteve, Tuanzebe, Walker, Cullen, Florentino, Anthony, Ugochukwu, Tchaouna, Flemming
Chelsea starting XI (4-2-3-1): Snchez, Cucurella, Chalobah, Fofana, Gusto, Caicedo, Fernandez, Garnacho, Joao Pedro, Neto, Delap
Chelsea 2-2 Burnley Burnley 1-4 Chelsea Burnley 0-4 Chelsea Chelsea 1-1 Burnley Chelsea 2-0 Burnley
Burnley has struggled against Chelsea in their recent games having not been able to win any of the last 5 games. The major worry that they have is the fact that they haven’t been able to keep a clean sheet against Chelsea in the last 5 games conceding 13 goals in the 5 games. This is especially bad as Chelsea are currently the second top scores in the league, therefore, they might face another high scoring game especially as the last 2 games at home they conceded 4 to Chelsea. Burnley will be hoping that this season their defence can stand strong and hold out some of the damage that Chelsea can cause, especially as Chelsea has struggled against a low block.
Chelsea goes into this game as the comfortable favourites to win especially after the 2 last visits to Turf Moor. They will be hoping to add another 4 goals to make it 3 away games in a row scoring 4 and they are more than able too. The main issue Chelsea could face is their struggle to break down a low block as shown against Sunderland. They are very susceptible to being hit on the counter. Therefore, if Burnley play for counters and to hold Chelsea out, Chelsea could face issues in getting the 3 points.
Burnley’s last 5 matches: Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley (A) Premier League Burnley 2-0 Leeds (H) Premier League Wolves 2-3 Burnley (A) Premier League Burnley 0-2 Arsenal (H) Premier League West Ham 3-2 Burnley (A) Premier league
Burnley managed to find some form in the last 5 games winning 2 games in a row, however, they have now lost that confidence and momentum as they are back to losing 2 straight games and have conceded 5 in the last 2 games. However, a positive to take from these games is that they can score, having scored 8 goals in these last 5 matches and Chelsea is not impossible to score against. Therefore, they should have a level of confidence that they can at least have chances. The main issues come from being only able to keep 1 clean sheet in the last 5 games, against a team whose attack is as strong and versatile as Chelsea’s they could struggle to stop goals going in the other way especially based on recent form.
Chelsea’s last 5 matches: Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland (H) Premier league Wolves 3-4 Chelsea (A) EFL Cup Tottenham 0-1 Chelsea (A) Premier League Qarabag FK 2-2 Chelsea (A) UEFA Champions League Chelsea 3-0 Wolves (H) Premier League
Chelsea has started to find some form again after that slip against Sunderland and have looked very strong when going forward for most of their last 5 games. This is shown by the 11 goals they have scored in the last 5 games. Their attack is so flexible that they can cause issues all over the pitch from attacks. However, their biggest strength this season has been their ability to win the battle in midfield. The double pivot has been on fire this season and has been very difficult to get past. This could cause issues for Burnley when they look to attack. However, the main issue that Chelsea has is their defence having conceded 7 goals in the last 5 games. This could be an issue especially if Burnley do look to hit on the counter. However, with the international break some key players have been able to rest and recover closer to full fitness so Chelsea will be going into this game with full confidence that they can pick up a win.
Our advanced algorithm has analysed over 200 pieces of data and predicted with 55% confidence that there will be over 2.5 goals in this game. The model factors to this decision are current form, previous head-to-head records, players available and tactical matchup.
Football Park’s Best Bet: There to be over 2.5 goals in this match @ 1.80 – our team of in-house tipsters have predicted over 2.5 goals based on the fact that the 2 previous times Burnley have played Chelsea at home there has been over 2.5 goals.
Martin Dubravka (Burnley): The 36-year-old has been called into action a lot this season but has been very reliable when needed. He has made the most saves in the league so far this season with 46 saves. Adding onto this the fact he has yet to make an error leading to a goal, he has become a very reliable shot stopper for Burnley, and they will be hoping that they can keep on relying on him in this game especially if they want to have a chance at winning the game.
Moises Caicedo (Chelsea): One of the best players in the league this season and one of the best midfielders in the world, he will be vital in keeping Chelsea ticking in this game. He has contributed massively to the success Chelsea has had this season and one of the main reasons for why Chelsea are 3rd. One of the main areas they can rely on him if needed is to score a goal from nothing especially if Burnley do end up playing the low block against Chelsea. He will be the main man holding down the midfield and protecting the defence so if Burnley want to have a slight chance of winning; they will need to somehow find a way around the 24-year-old.
Referee: Peter Bankes Broadcast Details: UK TNT Stadium: Turf Moor, capacity 22,546, surface grass

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