English Premier League


Over 2.5
Chelsea 1 - 2 Brentford
Who will win?
1

Chelsea
x
Draw
2

Brentford
We come to you with action from the English Premier League as a (hopefully) reborn Chelsea side welcome a surprise package chasing European football in Brentford, who come into the fixture in fine form.
Both sides return from being in FA Cup action last weekend. Blues began their Liam Rosenior era with a scintillating 5-1 thrashing of Charlton Athletic at The Valley to secure safe passage to the next round. Meanwhile, Brentford also had a favourable Championship side in a struggling Sheffield Wednesday away from home. They were not complacent whatsoever, and Keith Andrews’ side cruised to a 2-0 win.
We believe this has all the tools to be a very exciting London derby. Football Park finds it tough to pick out a winner, but a high-scoring affair certainly stands out to us, given recent results from both sides.
Key Betting Tips: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals at 1.98 odds on TalkSPORT bet represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our algorithm.
odds subject to change.
This match looks enticing from a both teams to score and over 2.5 goals outlook. If we cast back to the recent results of these sides, this market has landed in six of the last seven matches featuring Chelsea, while Brentford have been involved in 4-1 and 4-2 wins over the last two weeks, making this stand out for us.
Alternative Tip: Brentford to win 5.00 - Kwiff is offering excellent value on this market. It pains me to write this as a Chelsea fan, but our expert algorithm sees a 46.7% chance of a Brentford win. The Blues will still be getting used to Rosenior’s style of play, and Brentford have been one of the best teams in the country over the last month or so, and they will not be scared to bring the game to the hosts, and they could easily find a way to win on Saturday.
Chelsea Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez; Jorrel Hato, Trevoh Chalobah, Benoit Badiashille, Reece James; Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo; Alejandro Garnacho, Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto; Joao Pedro.
Team News: Rosenior has already come out to the press to say he is not scared of rotating the squad, so we have based this lineup on how he may choose to lineup against Arsenal on Wednesday which will no doubt be the strongest team at his disposal. Malo Gusto is touch and go with discomfort ruling him out of cup action last weekend, but if he is fit, we can see him starting over James on the right. Romeo Lavia remains out action, Levi Colwill the same, and as for Misha Mudryk – god only knows.
Brentford Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher; Rico Henry, Nathan Collins, Kristoffer Ajer, Michael Kayode; Vitaly Janelt, Yehor Yarmoliuk; Kevin Schade, Keane Lewis-Potter, Mathias Jensen; Igor Thiago.
Team News: The in-form Thiago is expected to continue leading the line after his scintillating displays over the last month. It is expected to be a near full-strength squad for this weekend’s fixture, with only Fabio Carvalho and Joshua Dasilva sidelined.
The Blues had another strong start to the campaign, and much like last season were within a win off first place Arsenal. But a repeat of the festive period saw the Blues drop straight into eighth, even below Manchester United and are now 16 points leaders Arsenal. Rosenior began his era in charge with a comfortable win over Charlton, but this expected to be his first “big” test in the Blues dugout, with the semi-final against The Gunners seen as a “free-hit.”
As for The Bees, they have recovered from a poor start to the campaign and have gone from being considered as relegation candidates to European football contenders with their impeccable form of the last few weeks, which only a handful of clubs could replicate. A comfortable win over Sunderland saw their wins tally rise to 10, and they are quickly becoming a tricky side to deal with. Chelsea couldn’t beat them when they weren’t playing well, so Saturday’s clash will sure say a lot about the state of each side.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Through the last 15 years, these sides have met on 13 occasions. The fixture isn’t fully dominated by Chelsea, although they have recorded more wins at five to the three of Brentford. In the last five, however, the head-to-head has become closer, with one win apiece and three draws. Every match within these 13 meetings played at Stamford Bridge has produced a winner, however, so history suggests these teams may not be sharing the spoils on Saturday.
Chelsea Recent Matches:
When you ask any Chelsea fan what they expect from their side before a game, they will not know, and Chelsea recent results screams this in abundance. A very strong performance at the Etihad where The Blues showed character under Calum McFarlane taking charge of his first senior fixture, was followed up some awful discipline in a poor 2-1 loss to Fulham before entering The Valley and shattering Charlton’s chances of a cup run.
Brentford Last 5 Matches:
As aforementioned, The Bees find themselves in excellent form, conceding just three times in their last five, while scoring an impressive 13 goals. Having won their last three games comfortably, they will be relishing the challenge of a trip to Stamford Bridge, where they have been successful in three of their last four games there.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with confidence in a high scoring affair. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.98 - Recent form suggests confidence in a high scoring game. With an 50% chance of both teams to score and a 50% chance of three or more goals being found according to our incredible in-house algorithm, this seems like a strong value option.
Pedro Neto (Chelsea): Neto is someone who will almost always wreak havoc on the pitch, and his eight goal involvements this term proves just that. He is technically a very gifted player who will cause the Brentford defence plenty of problems that they will have to answer, and he could prove to be the difference.
Igor Thiago (Brentford): Hunting down Erling Haaland ferociously for the Golden Boot, Thiago first full season has been nothing short of spectacular. Hitting his stride in recent weeks, he has found five goals in his last two appearances, and could be a real threat to a Chelsea defence that Rosenior will be looking to transform.
Referee: Information not available.
Stadium Information: Located in London, England, Stamford Bridge can hold up to just over 41,000 supporters, and this venue is expected to be packed for this clash, with this clash having much at stake for both sides.
Chelsea 1-2 Brentford

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