Emirates FA Cup


Home Win
Liverpool 3 - 1 Brighton
Who will win?
1

Liverpool
x
Draw
2

Brighton
Liverpool welcome Brighton in FA Cup action on Saturday, 14 February 2026. Time to see what the numbers say.
Solid stuff from Liverpool — 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 defeats in their last 5.
It's been up and down for Brighton: 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses recently.
Our model gives Liverpool the slight nod (53.30%), though Brighton at 13.30% means this is no foregone conclusion. Draw probability: 33.30%. Our model reckons this ends 3-1.
Expect goals at both ends — BTTS comes in at 86.70% on our model.
Goals expected here. Over 2.5 at 80.00% confidence. The Over 1.5 (100.00%) looks nailed on, and even Over 3.5 (45.00%) isn't crazy.
Gun to our head? Both Teams to Score at odds of 1.57. That's a 86.70% shout according to the numbers.
Here's how the bookies see it — Liverpool 1.55, Draw 4.50, Brighton 5.00. BTTS priced at 1.57 Yes / 2.25 No. Over 2.5 Goals is 2.38.
This preview was generated by our prediction algorithm. It crunches historical data, form, and stats to give you the numbers — but football being football, anything can happen. Bet responsibly.

Professional Sports Betting Analytics Expert & Algorithm Developer.
David Shaw is a pioneering figure in the sports betting analytics industry with over 12 years of specialized experience. He launched his first online sports data platform in 2014, quickly becoming the #1 ranked football tipster on Tipster Portal. Following the successful acquisition of his original platform, David founded FootyGuru365.com, which was also subsequently acquired as well as SoccerTips.ai.
David's crowning achievement is the development of the Betminer Algorithm - recognized as the world's most accurate football predictions algorithm. This sophisticated API now powers hundreds of major websites globally, providing cutting-edge predictions data to millions of users. He holds a degree in Computing from the University of the West of England, combining academic knowledge with real-world betting expertise.
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