Away Win
Athlone Town 0 - 4 Dundalk
Who will win?
1
Athlone Town
x
Draw
2
Dundalk
Athlone host Dundalk at Lissywollen Stadium on Friday, 3 October 2025 (19:45 GMT) in the Ireland First Division. The hosts come in with just a 6.7% chance of victory, while Dundalk are strong favourites at 56.7% win probability. With an expected 0-4 away win, Dundalk’s dominant attacking metrics (3.5 xG) make them clear value despite short odds.
## Match Details
Date: 3 October 2025
Kick-Off: 19:45 GMT
Competition: Ireland First Division
Venue: Lissywollen Stadium, Athlone – a 5,000-capacity ground with a challenging record against big sides.
Referee: TBC
Ireland & UK: LOITV streaming
International: Bet365 Live Streaming (selected regions)
Home Win Probability: 6.7%
Away Win Probability: 56.7%
Draw Probability: 36.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 0-4
Both Teams to Score Probability: 40.0%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 67.5%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Away/Away
Dundalk Win @ 1.27 – A straightforward pick given Athlone’s defensive struggles and Dundalk’s attacking edge.
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 – With 4.0 expected match goals and Dundalk averaging big away wins, overs look highly probable.
Expected Match Goals: 4.00
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 72.5%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 67.5%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 37.5%
First Half Goals Projection: 2.20 (70% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Dundalk Win @ 1.27
Best Bet 2: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44
Athlone famously held Dundalk to a 0-0 draw in May 2025, but history leans heavily Dundalk’s way – including the infamous 11-0 win in 2020. The model again projects a big away victory (0-4), aligning with betting markets.
At Football Park, we highlight value through advanced analytics. Still, shocks can happen in cup-style league fixtures. Always bet responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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