First NL


Away Win
Opatija 0 - 2 HNK Cibalia
Who will win?
1

Opatija
x
Draw
2

HNK Cibalia
Opatija welcome HNK Cibalia to the Stadion Opatija on 14 November 2025, with kick-off at 12:30 GMT, in what promises to be a tightly contested Croatia First NL fixture. Both sides have shared a competitive history, but Football Park’s advanced prediction algorithm suggests a clear edge for the visitors this time.
Drawing on our proven analytical framework — similar to our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips model — Football Park’s data highlights a 51% probability of a Cibalia win, built on superior attacking efficiency and defensive structure. With Opatija struggling to maintain consistent home form, the model forecasts a disciplined away performance leading to a crucial victory for Cibalia.
Key Betting Tip: HNK Cibalia to Win @ 2.60 — offering genuine value based on Football Park’s model projection and current market inefficiencies.
Competition: Croatia First NL Date: 14 November 2025 Kick-off: 12:30 GMT Venue: Stadion Opatija, Opatija
Football Park’s predictive model projects HNK Cibalia as 51.0% favourites to secure victory, with Opatija trailing at 31.3%. Despite historically close encounters, the data reveals Cibalia’s superior away performance metrics and a greater consistency in chance conversion.
Home Win Probability: 31.30%
Draw Probability: 17.70%
Away Win Probability: 51.00%
Both Teams to Score: 51.10%
Expected Match Goals: 1.80
Predicted Scoreline: 0-2
Half-Time/Full-Time: Draw/Away
Cibalia’s defensive resilience, coupled with their ability to transition efficiently in wide areas, has been key to their success. Opatija’s challenge will be breaking through a compact backline while coping with Cibalia’s direct attacking sequences, especially during the second half where they’ve statistically been most dangerous.
The Opatija vs HNK Cibalia timeline indicates a series of closely fought encounters in recent years, with both teams producing low-scoring affairs. However, Cibalia’s tactical edge in away fixtures continues to make the difference when it matters.
Previous Meetings:
18 Oct 2024: Opatija 1-1 HNK Cibalia
12 Feb 2022: Opatija 2-1 HNK Cibalia
15 Sep 2020: Opatija 0-1 HNK Cibalia
Across these fixtures, both sides have found goals difficult to come by, with no game exceeding three total goals. Notably, Cibalia’s previous two away trips to Opatija have each finished within narrow margins, suggesting another tightly managed contest. Football Park’s data reinforces this trend, predicting a low total goal output (1.8 expected goals) and a likely away victory.
Football Park’s algorithm has identified two data-backed bets with the strongest probability edges for this Croatia First NL matchup.
1. HNK Cibalia to Win @ 2.60
With a 51% win probability, Cibalia are the standout selection. Despite balanced market odds, Football Park’s model rates them significantly higher than bookmakers suggest. Their structured play in possession and tactical discipline away from home provide the framework for a narrow but deserved victory.
Away win probability: 51.00%
Most likely scoreline: 0-2
Half-time/full-time outcome: Draw/Away
Opatija home win probability: 31.30%
Cibalia’s recent form trend demonstrates strong second-half performances, frequently turning half-time draws into full-time wins — a pattern also reflected in Football Park’s half-time/full-time prediction model.
Why It Has Value:
At 2.60 odds, the market gives Cibalia an implied chance of 38%, meaning bettors gain a +13% statistical advantage compared to our algorithm projection — making this one of the most undervalued away selections this week.
2. Both Teams to Score @ 2.10
While Cibalia’s defensive metrics are solid, the model still sees a 51.1% chance of both sides finding the net. Opatija have scored in every home fixture since September, while Cibalia have shown an improved attacking rhythm in their last three away matches.
Statistical Rationale:
Both Teams to Score Probability: 51.10%
Expected Match Goals: 1.80
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 51.80%
Historical Average (Last 3 Meetings): 2.0 Goals per Game
Given both teams’ tendency to grow into matches late, a scoreline of 1-2 or 1-1 fits Football Park’s predictive curve, providing a balanced mix of safety and value for bettors targeting this mid-range goals market.
Odds of 2.10 reflect an implied probability of 47.6%, slightly below Football Park’s projected 51.1% — offering small but steady long-term value for those backing statistically aligned BTTS outcomes.
Confirmed Opatija vs HNK Cibalia lineups will be announced closer to kick-off, but Football Park’s data simulations project the game’s likely structure and rhythm.
Opatija: Expected to utilize a 4-4-2 setup, emphasizing compact defensive lines and counterattacking transitions through wide areas. Their biggest weakness remains in defending set pieces and long-range efforts.
HNK Cibalia: Projected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on vertical ball progression and exploiting half-space gaps. Cibalia’s front three have combined effectively in transition, contributing to the majority of their away goals this season.
The data suggests Cibalia’s wide overloads and superior chance creation will ultimately overwhelm Opatija’s defensive rigidity — aligning perfectly with the 0-2 correct score prediction generated by the Football Park algorithm.
Recent Opatija vs HNK Cibalia matches underline the visitors’ strategic advantage and consistency. Football Park’s model anticipates a slow-paced opening half, with most scoring opportunities emerging after the 55th minute as Cibalia’s attacking rotations gain control.
Top Tip: HNK Cibalia to Win @ 2.60
Secondary Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 2.10
Predicted Goals: 1.80
Correct Score Prediction: 0-2
Half-Time/Full-Time: Draw/Away
Given the high draw likelihood at half-time (62.3%), bettors may also consider Half-Time Draw / Full-Time Cibalia Win as a correlated outcome, further aligning with Football Park’s confidence intervals.
Referee: To be confirmed by HNS Broadcast: Local Croatian broadcasters (TBA) Venue: Stadion Opatija, Opatija
The Stadion Opatija, with its tight dimensions and low stands, often favours defensively resilient visiting sides. Cibalia’s tactical patience and direct attacking patterns are perfectly suited to such conditions, increasing their expected points yield in this fixture.
All Football Park predictions are model-based estimates built on probability and form data, not certainties. Always gamble responsibly, and only stake amounts you can afford to lose. Betting should remain an enjoyable, informed activity rather than a financial necessity.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our analytical models also extend to emerging leagues like Croatia’s First NL, helping bettors uncover statistically valuable markets before odds fully adjust.
Stay updated with the latest Opatija vs HNK Cibalia predictions, tactical insights, and betting models — exclusively on Football Park.

An avid gambler, football obsessive and loyal Nottingham Forest fan, Louis has been writing about football and wider sports since he was just 15 years old. Clearly a natural in front of a audience from the start, he balanced his early writing with a stint in acting, even earning himself an IMDB profile for his work on screen during his younger years.
Armed with a Football Journalism degree from the University of Derby, he initially joined the Football Park team in April 2025 as a Freelance Writer, before quickly being offered a full-time position as the site's Lead Writer and Betting Strategist. His time working in football has taken him to every corner of the sports media landscape possible, with roles for GiveMeSport, Reach PLC and VAVEL included amongst the 15 different websites he has written for in the past, whilst his roles in club media include non-league sides Hucknall Town and Basford United - he can still be found on live radio commentary with the latter from time to time - as well as Nottingham Forest themselves.
During his tenure at GiveMeSport, Louis showcased his range by producing everything from historical deep-dives into Liverpool's greatest-ever finishers to tactical breakdowns of the big questions facing Ange Postecoglou at Tottenham. His expertise also extends to the betting markets, where he has provided sharp match analysis and predictions for fixtures such as England vs. Finland in the Nations League.
Louis holds a knowledge of the 92 and it's various combatants that is as varied as it is mildly concerning. He channelled this keen interest in the sport into a hopeful career in professional journalism back in 2018 with the launch of his own personal From12Yards blog whilst studying for his GCSE's, before expanding his list of clientele with articles on his beloved Nottingham Forest for a local newspaper and freelancing for different publications over a range of sports, including darts, professional wrestling, MMA, boxing and Formula 1 (he talks about Daniel Ricciardo a concerning amount).
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