Away Win
Auxerre 0 - 2 Lens
Who will win?
1
Auxerre
x
Draw
2
Lens
Auxerre take on Lens at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps on October 4, 2025 (20:05 GMT) in an intriguing Ligue 1 clash. Lens enter as favourites with the algorithm projecting a near 47% chance of victory, while Auxerre face an uphill battle despite home advantage. The expected match goals stand at 2.3, suggesting a mid-scoring encounter with Lens expected to edge it.
At Football Park, our prediction model — used in features like San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips — factors in over 200 metrics, from team form and player availability to tactical strengths and weaknesses. For this contest, the algorithm points towards an away win, with a 0-2 correct scoreline emerging as the most likely outcome.
Bettors can find value in outright selections and goals markets, particularly with Lens projected to take control in both halves.
Lens Win Probability: 46.7%
Auxerre Win Probability: 26.7%
Draw Probability: 26.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 0-2 Lens
Both Teams to Score Probability: 53.3%
The algorithm indicates Lens are more likely to dominate territorially and convert chances, especially in the first half, where they carry a 53.3% probability of leading at the break.
Two of Football Park’s highest-rated percentage selections stand out:
Lens to Win @ 1.95 – With nearly a 47% probability, the away side are favoured to take maximum points.
Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 – With only a 10% chance of four or more goals, the data strongly supports a more controlled scoreline.
These bets provide the most data-driven value from the algorithm’s outputs.
14 Dec 2024 // Auxerre 2-2 Lens
03 Jun 2023 // Auxerre 1-3 Lens
06 Oct 2018 // Auxerre 1-2 Lens
31 Jul 2017 // Auxerre 1-0 Lens
18 Nov 2016 // Auxerre 1-1 Lens
06 Nov 2015 // Auxerre 1-2 Lens
27 Jan 2014 // Auxerre 1-2 Lens
20 Oct 2012 // Auxerre 1-2 Lens
24 Apr 2011 // Auxerre 1-1 Lens
Lens have historically enjoyed the upper hand, with multiple wins at Auxerre’s ground across the past decade.
Official Auxerre vs Lens lineups will be announced approximately one hour before kick-off. Keep checking Football Park for confirmed team news and tactical setups.
Most Likely Winner: Lens (46.7%)
Most Probable Scoreline: 0-2 Lens
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Away/Away
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%
BTTS Likelihood: 53.3%
Competition: Ligue 1
Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
Kick-Off: 20:05 GMT
Venue: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre
Broadcast: Ligue 1 rights holders in France and international streaming services.
While Football Park’s predictions highlight value on a Lens victory, remember that football betting always involves uncertainty. Please gamble responsibly and set personal limits before placing bets.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our algorithm-driven insights are designed to highlight value and support smarter betting decisions.
Contact Sales