France Ligue 1


Home Win
Lorient 2 - 1 Nantes
Who will win?
1

Lorient
x
Draw
2

Nantes
The Stade Yves-Allainmat sets the stage for a tense Breton Derby between two sides moving in opposite directions. Lorient has quietly climbed to 9th place, fueled by a five-match unbeaten streak that has them dreaming of a European spot. On the other side, Nantes is in freefall; they occupy the relegation playoff spot and haven't tasted victory in their last three outings. For the visitors, this isn't just a rivalry game; it’s a survival necessity. Lorient’s organised backline will be the ultimate test for a Nantes attack that has struggled to find the net all winter.
Key Betting Tip: Lorient Win at 1.85 odds (Kwiff Bet) represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.
Lorient Predicted XI: Mvogo (GK), Meite, Talbi, Silva, Le Bris, Cadiou, Abergel, Kouassi, Makengo, Karim, Dieng
Team News: Bamba, Faye, Yongwa, Fadiga, Katseris, and Tosin are all absent from this fixture due to various injuries.
Nantes Predicted XI: Lopes, Cozza, Youssef, Awaziem, Amian, Mwanga, Sissoko, Cabella, Abline, Lepenant, Mohamed
Team News: Central defender Tati is suspended from this fixture due to yellow card accumulation. Centonze, Machado, Leroux, and Camara are all absent due to injury as well.
The surprise package of the season, Lorient, sits in 9th place with 25 points. Despite a negative goal difference of -5 (25 scored, 30 conceded), they have become the league's draw specialists and hard to beat.
It’s a grim picture for Les Canaris, who languish in 16th place (the relegation playoff spot) with just 14 points. Their main issue is a toothless attack that has managed only 18 goals in 19 games, the second-worst in the division, leaving them four points adrift of safety.
In their last 35 meetings, Lorient have won 10 times, Nantes have won 16 times, and there have been 9 draws. The last two meetings have ended in 1-1 draws.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Lorient Last 5 Matches:
Lorient enter the weekend unbeaten in ten, headlined by a clinical away win at Rennes last Saturday. Their January also included a win at Monaco and a gritty draw with Metz. Olivier Pantaloni has turned Les Merlus into a disciplined unit that hasn't tasted defeat since mid-December, propelling them up the table.
Nantes Last 5 Matches:
It has been a miserable start to 2026 for Nantes. They have lost four of their last five, including a demoralising thumping by Nice last Sunday and a home loss to Paris FC. Their only silver lining was a shock win over Marseille on January 4th, but that performance feels like a distant memory as they continue to slide toward the bottom two.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 46.7% confidence in a Lorient win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Lorient to Win @ 1.85 (Kwiff Bet) - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted a home victory in this fixture. Their superior form, home advantage in the derby and head-to-head record justify confidence in this selection.
Bamba Dieng (Lorient): Hardly a starter in the early season, Dieng has come on leaps and bounds this winter, with 7 goals in his last five Lorient games. Now his spot in the starting XI is solidified, the Senegalese international will want to continue impressing Oliver Pantaloni.
Matthis Abline (Nantes): The 22-year-old is the lone bright spot for Nantes, contributing 5 goals and 4 assists in 21 appearances. He is a high-volume shooter, leading the team with 51 attempts and ranking in the 93rd percentile for aerial duels won.
Broadcast Details: N/A in the UK.
Stadium Information: Situated in the heart of Lorient, Brittany, the Stade du Moustoir, officially the Stade Yves-Allainmat, is a classic urban ground with a capacity of 18,500. Built in 1959 and undergoing major renovations in 1998 and 2010, it is located just a few blocks from the city's central train station.
Referee: Bastien Dechepy (France)

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