Home Win
Metz 2 - 0 Angers
Who will win?
1
Metz
x
Draw
2
Angers
Metz face Angers at the Stade Saint-Symphorien on Saturday at 19:00 (Ligue 2) in what our Football Park model projects to be a controlled, low-scoring affair. Metz are strong favourites with a 60% win probability, while Angers hold just 26.7%, and the draw is the least likely outcome at 13.3%. The algorithm expects 1.5 total match goals and the most likely correct scoreline is 2-0 to Metz.
This Ligue 1 forecast draws on over 200 data points covering tactical trends, player availability, and historic head-to-head patterns. Here, the model flags Metz’s defensive control as decisive, with only a 26.7% chance of both teams scoring.
Below, Football Park breaks down the key Metz vs Angers predictions and value betting angles ahead of this Ligue 2 clash.
The historical Metz vs Angers matches data shows Metz have dominated at home, winning four of the last six meetings at the Stade Saint-Symphorien. Their most recent clash saw Metz win 1-0 in May 2022, following a 1-0 defeat away in March 2021.
Metz have kept a clean sheet in three of their last four home fixtures against Angers, which supports the Football Park model’s low 0.40 expected away goals projection for Angers in this matchup.
Football Park’s advanced model produces the following probabilities for this fixture:
Home Win Probability: 60%
Draw Probability: 13.3%
Away Win Probability: 26.7%
Most Likely Correct Score: 2-0
Expected Match Goals: 1.5
Both Teams to Score Probability: 26.7%
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 95%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 35%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 15%
The model also signals a strong likelihood of a slow start, with only a 47% chance of a first-half goal. A Draw/Home half-time/full-time scenario emerges as the highest-rated outcome pattern.
Based on the highest-rated model outcomes, our two strongest Football Park selections are:
Best Bet 1: Metz to Win @ 2.20 Metz’s 60% win probability gives this pick standout value at odds above evens, supported by their dominant head-to-head record.
Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.73 (implied) With just 1.5 expected match goals and only a 15% chance of over 2.5 goals, this market aligns perfectly with the projected game state.
These angles present far stronger long-term value than goal-heavy markets or BTTS, given the model’s defensive skew.
Most Likely Scoreline: 2-0 Metz
Win Probabilities: Metz 60%, Draw 13.3%, Angers 26.7%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 35%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 15%
First Half Goal Chance: 47%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Home
Broadcast Details:
UK: Viaplay Sports
Europe: beIN Sports
Global: Ligue 2 TV (selected territories)
Venue Insight: The Stade Saint-Symphorien has been a fortress for Metz in this fixture, with Angers scoring just once in their last three visits.
The Metz vs Angers predictions point clearly to a controlled Metz win in a low-scoring match. The Football Park algorithm rates Metz’s defence as decisive, projecting few chances for Angers to break through.
Football Park’s top two value-backed picks for this clash are:
Metz to Win @ 2.20
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.73
As always, bet responsibly and follow our live prediction updates on Football Park.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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