Over 3.5
Paris Saint Germain 4 - 0 Auxerre
Who will win?
1
Paris Saint Germain
x
Draw
2
Auxerre
Paris Saint-Germain return to the Parc des Princes on October 19, 2025, for a Ligue 1 clash against Auxerre, with kick-off set for 20:00 GMT. The hosts are overwhelming favourites, with the Football Park algorithm giving them an 80% probability of victory. Auxerre, by contrast, face one of the toughest assignments in French football and will need a near-perfect performance to avoid defeat.
Football Park’s advanced model, which factors in over 200 data points, projects a 4-0 correct scoreline in favour of PSG. Goals are heavily expected, with 3.80 predicted in total and a high probability that the over 3.5 goals market will land.
This preview covers PSG vs Auxerre predictions, betting tips, and their recent head-to-head history, offering punters a data-driven roadmap for their weekend bets.
The timeline of PSG vs Auxerre matches reflects total dominance by the Parisians:
PSG have scored 11 goals across their last three meetings, conceding just three. Auxerre’s last win over the Parisians came more than a decade ago, underscoring the gulf in class.
According to Football Park’s model:
Home Win Probability: 80%
Draw Probability: 6.7%
Away Win Probability: 13.3%
The algorithm expects 3.80 total goals, with the most likely correct scoreline being 4-0 PSG.
Top Two Football Park Best Bets:
PSG to Win @ 1.17 – Backed by an 80% probability, this is the standout value despite the short price.
Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.80 – With a 75% likelihood, this aligns perfectly with the model’s forecast of 3.80 goals.
The algorithm also indicates a strong chance of a Home/Home half-time/full-time result, suggesting PSG will take control early.
Football Park tipsters recommend focusing on result and goals markets:
PSG to Win @ 1.17: The safest selection, fully aligned with both algorithm probability and recent head-to-head results.
Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.80: Supported by the data, with PSG having scored at least three goals in two of their last three meetings with Auxerre.
For higher odds, Correct Score 4-0 @ 9.00 offers excellent alignment with the algorithm’s projection.
Competition: Ligue 1
Date & Time: October 19, 2025 | 20:00 GMT
Venue: Parc des Princes, Paris
Referee: Appointment TBC
Broadcast: France – Amazon Prime Video | International – beIN Sports, ESPN+ (selected markets)
The Parc des Princes has been a fortress in this fixture, and with PSG’s attacking metrics, Auxerre will need defensive perfection to keep the scoreline respectable.
Reviewing the PSG vs Auxerre matches in recent years:
This strengthens the case for backing PSG with high-scoring markets, rather than chasing narrow win outcomes.
At Football Park, we always promote responsible gambling. Bet sensibly, within your means, and remember that wagering should be treated as entertainment, not as a guaranteed outcome.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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