Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Paris Saint Germain host Rennes at the Parc des Princes on 06 December 2025, kicking off at 20:05 GMT in a Ligue 1 showdown shaped by contrasting styles and rising competitive tension. Following the analytical structure of our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield predictions template, this preview draws on Football Park’s advanced predictive engine to deliver a complete, data-backed betting analysis.

Our key betting tip is Over 2.5 Match Goals at 1.40, supported by a 60 percent probability and a projected 3.00 goals in total. With both teams forecast to contribute meaningfully in attack, our second recommended selection is Both Teams to Score at 1.75, a market aligned with a 56.7 percent BTTS probability. PSG’s 40 percent win projection, combined with Rennes’ renewed counter-attacking strength, sets the stage for an open contest with sustained scoring opportunities.

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Timeline & Match Details

The PSG vs Rennes timeline showcases one of Ligue 1’s most intriguing repeat matchups, defined by tactical contrasts and frequent swings in momentum. Football Park’s model predicts 1.20 first-half goals and a 73 percent probability of Over 0.5 First-Half Goals, indicating that this fixture should open at a lively pace.

PSG typically dominate possession at home, using structured buildup, positional rotations, and fluid forward play to break down defensive lines. Rennes, however, are among the few French sides capable of disrupting PSG’s rhythm with aggressive pressing, transitional bursts, and direct wide attacks. This stylistic clash often results in dynamic, back-and-forth matches—well suited to goals-based betting markets.

Rennes’ strong 46.7 percent probability of a half-time lead is one of the key model insights, reflecting their tendency to start fast in high-profile fixtures. Yet PSG’s superior second-half influence aligns with a Draw/Home half-time/full-time projection, suggesting a match that evolves significantly after the interval.

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Matches: Previous Meetings Analysis

The past decade of PSG vs Rennes matches has delivered surprising variance, with Rennes occasionally upsetting the Parisian giants and PSG often responding with dominant performances.

Recent meetings

• 27 Sep 2024: PSG 3-1 Rennes
• 03 Apr 2024: PSG 1-0 Rennes
• 25 Feb 2024: PSG 1-1 Rennes
• 19 Mar 2023: PSG 0-2 Rennes
• 11 Feb 2022: PSG 1-0 Rennes
• 07 Nov 2020: PSG 3-0 Rennes
• 03 Aug 2019: PSG 2-1 Rennes
• 27 Jan 2019: PSG 4-1 Rennes
• 12 May 2018: PSG 0-2 Rennes
• 06 Nov 2016: PSG 4-0 Rennes

Recurring patterns include:

• PSG dominating at home, scoring two or more in most Parc des Princes meetings.
• Rennes capable of upsetting PSG when transitions break in their favour.
• BTTS outcomes frequently appearing in recent seasons (2024, 2023, 2019).
• Matches often surpassing the 2.5-goal line, reflected in both recent form and predictive modelling.

This historical balance reinforces Football Park’s emphasis on goals-based angles rather than leaning heavily into the 1X2 markets.

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Predictions

Football Park’s algorithm grades this fixture as a moderately high-scoring Ligue 1 contest with a competitive edge—PSG favoured but not overwhelmingly dominant.

Key prediction indicators:

• Home Win: 40.00 percent
• Draw: 33.30 percent
• Away Win: 26.70 percent
• Both Teams to Score: 56.70 percent
• Expected Match Goals: 3.00
• Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 70.00 percent
• Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60.00 percent
• Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 40.00 percent
• Over 0.5 First-Half Goals Probability: 73.00 percent

The model’s correct score prediction of 2-1 highlights PSG’s edge in technical quality while acknowledging Rennes’ capacity to break through Paris’ defensive block. The combination of shared scoring expectation and strong second-half influence positions this match firmly within Football Park’s “open competitive scoring” category.

Best Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Betting Tips

Only the top two percentage-backed bets are recommended for this fixture.

Football Park’s Best Bet: Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1.40

With a 60 percent probability and a projected three-goal match total, this selection represents the strongest data-aligned recommendation. PSG routinely exceed the 2.5 line at home, and Rennes’ transition-based attack consistently produces high-value chances.

Second Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.75

Backed by a 56.7 percent BTTS probability, this market offers value in a matchup where both sides are expected to generate meaningful scoring opportunities. Rennes’ history of troubling PSG’s back line further strengthens this angle.

For deeper statistical angles across Ligue 1, bettors can explore Football Park’s French football predictions hub, covering all major fixtures with data-led precision.

Paris Saint Germain vs Rennes Match Facts

• Referee: A senior Ligue 1 referee takes charge, known for allowing open play—an important factor in matches involving PSG’s fluid attack and Rennes’ vertical transitions.
• Broadcast Information: The match is available through Ligue 1’s international broadcast partners, with full coverage on major European and global streaming platforms.
• Stadium: The Parc des Princes remains one of France’s most challenging away environments, amplifying PSG’s territorial dominance and affecting opposition build-up structure.

Call to Action

For more Ligue 1 previews, model-driven betting insights, and high-value predictions across Europe, visit Football Park’s dedicated match analysis hub. Every forecast is built from more than 200 data points, ensuring precise and actionable betting guidance.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.