France Ligue 1


Home Win
Strasbourg 2 - 2 Lille
Who will win?
1

Strasbourg
x
Draw
2

Lille
Match Details: November 9, 2025 | Stade de la Meinau | Ligue 1 | 16:15 GMT
Ligue 1's round 12 delivers a pulsating Alsace showdown as Strasbourg host Lille at the raucous Stade de la Meinau. The hosts, riding a wave of home invincibility, eye a statement win to cement their top-four push, while Lille seek to rebound from midweek European stumbles and maintain their continental chase. Strasbourg's attacking verve meets Lille's resilient backline in a fixture historically tight, but recent Strasbourg dominance hints at fireworks.
Key Betting Tips: Lille to Win @2.50
For an alternative, back Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals at 1.80—Strasbourg's last five home games averaged 3.2 goals, while Lille netted in 80% of away outings, fueling end-to-end chaos.
Strasbourg Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Mats Sels; Frédéric Goreczky, Abakar Sylla, Diego Saliou, Valentin Barco; Ismaël Doukouré (if cleared), Andrey Santos; Guela Doué, Sebastian Nanasi, Dilane Bakwa; Emanuel Emegha.
Coach Liam Rosenior boasts near-full strength post-international break, with Emegha back from hamstring woes to lead the line. However, Saïdou Sow remains sidelined by cruciate ligament tear until mid-2026, Maxi Oyedele nurses a muscle strain, and Karl-Johan Johnsson's wrist fracture persists. Ismaël Doukouré could return from suspension, bolstering midfield steel.
Lille Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Lucas Chevalier; Thomas Meunier, Bafodé Diakité, Alexsandro, Lucas Perraud; Benjamin André, Rémy Cabella; Jonathan David, Hakon Haraldsson, Edon Zhegrova; Olivier Giroud.
Paulo Fonseca fields a potent unit, with Giroud's veteran nous key up top. Absences hit hard: Ousmane Touré's cruciate tear rules him out long-term, Nabil Bentaleb battles a nagging injury, and Ngal Ayel Mukau sits with a muscle issue. Marc-Aurèle Caillard (elbow) and Alexsandro (dead leg, doubtful) test depth, but Haraldsson's creativity shines through.
A razor-thin gap defines this mid-table melee. Lille perch fourth on 20 points from 11 games (6W-2D-3L, +8 GD), their Europa League exploits fueling momentum. Strasbourg trail in seventh (19 points, 6W-1D-4L, +5 GD), unbeaten in five but vulnerable away. Both trail leaders PSG by nine; a win catapults either into Champions League contention.
Over 18 meetings, Lille edge with 9 wins to Strasbourg's 5 (4 draws). Yet Strasbourg flipped the script lately, unbeaten in four (2W-2D). High-scoring tilts prevail: average 2.8 goals/match.
January 25, 2025: Strasbourg 2-1 Lille (Ligue 1)
September 21, 2024: Lille 3-3 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
April 21, 2024: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
December 20, 2023: Strasbourg 2-1 Lille (Ligue 1)
Strasbourg Last 5 Matches:
Rennes 4-1 Strasbourg (A) – Ligue 1
Strasbourg 3-0 Auxerre (H) – Ligue 1
Lyon 2-1 Strasbourg (A) – Ligue 1
Strasbourg 1-1 Jagiellonia (H) – Conf League
PSG 3-3 Strasbourg (A) – Ligue 1
Mixed bag: three home clean sheets mask away fragility (conceding 9 in three losses). Emegha's return ignites attack, but defensive wobbles exposed versus pace.
Lille Last 5 Matches:
Crvena Zvezda 1-0 Lille (A) – Europa League
Lille 1-0 Angers (H) – Ligue 1
Nice 2-0 Lille (A) – Ligue 1
Lille 6-1 Metz (H) – Ligue 1
Lille 3-4 (AET) opponent (H) – Coupe
Solid domestically (three wins), but European slip-ups highlight fatigue. Giroud's hold-up play and Zhegrova's wings dismantle low blocks—perfect for Strasbourg's high line.
Our algorithm, crunching 200+ metrics (form, xG, absences), forecasts a 1-2 Lille triumph (58% probability). Strasbourg's home fire (four wins) clashes with Lille's counter-threat (1.6 xG/away game), tilting visitor edges in transitions.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Lille to Win @ 2.50
Strasbourg's recent H2H hex ends here; Lille's depth exploits gaps, prevailing in a scrap.
Emanuel Emegha (Strasbourg): Post-hamstring, the Dutch forward's pace terrorizes (4 goals/season); he'll test Diakité early.
Jonathan David (Lille): Lille's talisman (5 goals) thrives on service—expect him to punish set-pieces amid Sow's void.
Olivier Giroud (Lille): The ageless No.9 (veteran poacher) links play; his hold-up vs. Sylla could unlock flanks.
Referee: François Letexier.
Broadcast Details: UK: TNT Sports, discovery+ at 17:15 CET.
Stadium Information: Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg, seats 26,280 in electric atmosphere—Strasbourg's fortress (unbeaten in six).

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