France Ligue 1


Away Win
Toulouse 2 - 3 Strasbourg
Who will win?
1

Toulouse
x
Draw
2

Strasbourg
Toulouse host Strasbourg in this Ligue 1 clash on 6 December 2025 at 18:00, with both sides aiming to gain ground during a crucial mid-season stretch.
Played at Stadium de Toulouse, this fixture arrives with Football Park’s predictive model heavily favouring a tight contest, but with a clear value edge in the highlighted betting tip: Strasbourg Double Chance (Win or Draw) at 1.57, supported by the algorithm’s lean towards the visitors avoiding defeat. As always, this preview mirrors the Football Park data-led structure used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield templates, combining statistical probability with practical betting insight to frame expected match patterns and likely outcomes.
Toulouse and Strasbourg have produced consistently competitive head-to-head encounters, with goals often central to the storyline. The most recent meeting in January 2025 ended 1-2 to Strasbourg, continuing a trend of tight margins.
Prior to that, their April 2024 fixture finished 0-0, while clashes in 2022 and 2018 delivered multiple high-scoring draws, including 2-2 results in both 2022 and 2018. Strasbourg also claimed a 1-2 win in 2019 and a 0-1 away win in 2020. These historical patterns reinforce expectations for another finely balanced contest.
Football Park’s algorithm identifies this matchup as one with notable volatility, returning 40% for a home win, 33.3% for an away win and 40% for a draw. That near-even distribution, paired with Strasbourg’s historical ability to compete in Toulouse, strengthens the appeal of Strasbourg Double Chance, one of our top percentage-rated selections.
Expected match goals sit at 2.80, suggesting a lively dynamic shaped by the 63.3% probability of both teams scoring. A projected correct score of 2-2 aligns with the model’s emphasis on shared attacking opportunities and loose defensive phases from both sides.
Football Park’s two highest-value, top-rated percentage selections for this fixture are:
Strasbourg Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.57
Our model favours the visitors avoiding defeat, supported by a blend of historical matchup resilience and the home side’s inconsistent defensive metrics. This is the standout betting angle for punters seeking a data-backed value position.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.10
With expected goals forecasting close to three goals and both teams posting strong scoring indicators, this combination pick offers compelling upside. The 63.3% BTTS rating and 65% probability for over 2.5 goals together frame a match scenario tilted towards open play and multiple scoring phases.
As with all betting, stakes should remain sensible and aligned with responsible gambling practices.
Refereeing duties for this Ligue 1 meeting will be handled by an appointed domestic official experienced in managing matches with similar tactical profiles. Broadcast coverage will be available across Ligue 1’s standard European partners, while fans outside Europe can access streams through international subscription platforms depending on territorial rights. Stadium de Toulouse provides the setting, a venue known for open-pitch dynamics that often encourage free-flowing sequences—conditions that match Football Park’s projection of a high-tempo encounter featuring multiple goal opportunities.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

Contact Sales