Draw
Rodez 1 - 1 Clermont Foot
Who will win?
1
Rodez
x
Draw
2
Clermont Foot
Rodez host Clermont Foot at the Stade Paul-Lignon on 14 September 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 18:00 GMT in this eagerly anticipated Ligue 2 encounter. This fixture sees two sides known for their organised defences and narrow margins face off once more, and with both clubs struggling to convert chances in recent weeks, the stakes are high.
This preview applies Football Park’s data-driven prediction model, which analyses over 200 advanced performance metrics per match. The algorithm forecasts a remarkably high 64.3% chance of a draw, with only 29% Rodez win probability and 6.7% for Clermont Foot, pointing strongly towards a cagey, low-scoring affair decided by fine margins.
Examining recent Rodez vs Clermont Foot matches reveals a pattern of close, low-scoring contests between these two sides:
Across these previous meetings, no match has seen more than two goals, and Rodez are unbeaten in all three, underlining their strong home record in this head-to-head. This trend supports the model’s prediction of a tight, balanced affair.
The Rodez vs Clermont Foot predictions from our model strongly suggest a low-tempo game, with the draw as the standout result probability:
Home Win Probability: 29%
Draw Probability: 64.3%
Away Win Probability: 6.7%
Correct Score Projection: 1-1
Expected Match Goals: 1.80
Both Teams to Score Probability: 62.2%
Over 1.5 Match Goals Probability: 66.8%
Over 2.5 Match Goals Probability: 10%
Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 64%
Half-Time / Full-Time Projection: Draw / Draw
These figures indicate that goals are expected to be scarce, with the match likely to be decided by isolated moments rather than sustained attacking pressure.
Our betting analytics team have highlighted two high-value opportunities supported by the model’s strongest percentage projections:
Best Bet 1: Draw @ 3.40 The model gives this outcome a 64.3% probability, which represents significant value at current market odds, making it our top selection for this fixture.
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.73 With a 62.2% probability and both sides showing defensive vulnerabilities, this offers strong value despite the low goal projection overall.
These represent the most statistically robust options in what is forecast to be a tense, tactical contest with limited open-play chances.
Match Odds: Rodez 2.10 | Draw 3.40 | Clermont Foot 3.30
Most Likely Scoreline: 1-1
Venue: Stade Paul-Lignon, Rodez — a compact venue known for its tight pitch dimensions that often favour disciplined defensive setups.
Broadcast Details:
France: beIN Sports
Europe: DAZN (selected territories)
Global: OneFootball (streaming)
Conditions are expected to be mild and dry, creating an ideal surface for controlled possession play, which may favour Rodez’s structured build-up style.
Football Park’s data-driven algorithm points clearly towards a low-scoring stalemate, with draw the standout selection given its dominant 64.3% model probability.
Key Data Points:
64.3% draw probability
1-1 correct score projection
62.2% BTTS probability
10% chance of over 2.5 goals
Recommended Bets:
Draw @ 3.40
Both Teams to Score @ 1.73
As always, bet responsibly and only stake what you can afford to lose. For more on risk management and expected value, explore Football Park’s bankroll management guide and football betting strategy hub.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.
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