HNL


BTTS Yes
Vukovar 1 - 2 Dinamo Zagreb
Who will win?
1

Vukovar
x
Draw
2

Dinamo Zagreb
Match Date: Monday, 27 October 2025 Kick-off: 18:00 GMT Competition: Croatia HNL
A classic David vs Goliath matchup unfolds in the Croatian top flight as Vukovar host reigning champions Dinamo Zagreb. While the visitors enter as heavy favourites, Vukovar have shown enough attacking intent at home to suggest they could trouble Dinamo’s defence.
Football Park’s model heavily leans towards the visitors, giving Dinamo Zagreb a 60% chance of victory, compared to Vukovar’s 20%, with a 68% probability of both teams finding the net. The match is projected to produce 3.1 total goals, highlighting the likelihood of another open and entertaining fixture.
Football Park’s algorithm evaluates team form, shot efficiency, and defensive performance to project the most probable outcomes:
Home Win Probability: 20.00%
Away Win Probability: 60.00%
Draw Probability: 20.00%
Both Teams to Score Probability: 68.00%
Expected Match Goals: 3.10
The simulation points to a 1-2 win for Dinamo Zagreb, consistent with the away side’s high-scoring trend this season.
Both Teams to Score @ 2.00
Despite Dinamo’s clear superiority, their defence has shown occasional lapses, conceding in four of their last five away matches. Vukovar have scored in six consecutive home games, and their front line has enough pace to capitalise on transition opportunities.
With a 68% probability from the model, this market offers great value for punters expecting Vukovar to make their mark while Dinamo still prevail. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 2.00
Dinamo Zagreb to Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90 (Est.)
Dinamo’s offensive numbers speak for themselves — they’ve averaged 2.4 goals per game and have scored at least twice in seven of their last eight fixtures. With 3.1 expected total goals, combining the away win with Over 2.5 makes perfect statistical sense.
Recommended Bet: Dinamo Zagreb to Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90
Over 0.5 Match Goals: 100% probability
Over 1.5 Match Goals: 73.3% probability
Over 2.5 Match Goals: 53.3% probability
Over 3.5 Match Goals: 33.3% probability
Both Teams to Score: 68% probability
Correct Score Prediction: 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb
Expect a strong first-half tempo, with 70% chance of at least one goal before halftime — most likely from the visitors.
Dinamo Zagreb are expected to dominate possession and chances, but Vukovar’s attacking consistency at home should ensure this isn’t a one-sided contest. The best value lies in goal-heavy markets, with Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 looking particularly strong.
Predicted outcome: Vukovar 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb Most valuable markets: Both Teams to Score | Dinamo Zagreb Win & Over 2.5 Goals
All Football Park predictions are based on statistical data and performance trends — they are not guarantees. Always gamble responsibly: set limits, avoid chasing losses, and bet only what you can afford to lose.
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