Wieczysta Kraków vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Wieczysta Kraków vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Match Date: Monday, 27 October 2025 Kick-off: 19:00 GMT Competition: Poland I Liga

Match Overview

The Poland I Liga sees a fascinating matchup as Wieczysta Kraków host Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki in Kraków. Both sides have produced entertaining football this season, and Football Park’s data model predicts a goal-filled contest.

Wieczysta enter as favourites with a 33.3% win probability, while the visitors hold 13.3%, and the draw leads with 53.3% — reflecting how evenly contested this fixture could be. The model anticipates 2.7 total expected goals and a strong 76.7% probability of both teams scoring, making BTTS markets highly appealing.

Football Park Algorithm Predictions

Football Park’s AI-driven model, using expected goals (xG), possession trends, and recent performance data, forecasts the following outcomes:

Home Win Probability: 33.30%

Away Win Probability: 13.30%

Draw Probability: 53.30%

Both Teams to Score Probability: 76.70%

Expected Match Goals: 2.70

The simulation’s most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, consistent with their recent head-to-head and current scoring patterns.

Key Betting Tips

Wieczysta Kraków to Win @ 1.57

Wieczysta have been dominant at home, particularly in the attacking third, averaging 1.6 expected goals per home match. Their creative depth and technical quality should give them the edge, especially against a Pogoń side that has struggled to manage pressure on the road.

Despite the draw probability being high, Wieczysta’s home momentum makes them the stronger selection. Recommended Bet: Wieczysta Kraków to Win @ 1.57

Both Teams to Score @ 1.57

This is one of the strongest statistical plays in the fixture. With a 76.7% BTTS probability and both sides averaging over 2.5 combined match goals, goals at both ends look highly likely.

Their last meeting finished 1-1, and both have scored in over 70% of league fixtures this season. Expect a lively encounter with goals in both halves. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score @ 1.57

Head-to-Head Timeline – Wieczysta Kraków vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

01 Sep 2024: Wieczysta Kraków 1-1 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Their only recent meeting ended level, and both teams found the net — a pattern that aligns with this match’s high BTTS projection.

Statistical Breakdown – Wieczysta Kraków vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Predictions

Over 0.5 Match Goals: 90% probability

Over 1.5 Match Goals: 90% probability

Over 2.5 Match Goals: 45% probability

Over 3.5 Match Goals: 25% probability

Both Teams to Score: 76.7% probability

Correct Score Prediction: 1-1

Expect an energetic start — the model indicates a 93% chance of a first-half goal, with both teams favouring proactive attacking setups.

Betting Outlook

Wieczysta are favoured to edge this home tie, but the data suggests another close and goal-rich affair. Pogoń’s ability to counter will make this open, yet Wieczysta’s superior technical play and home control should tilt the result in their favour.

Predicted outcome: Wieczysta Kraków 2-1 Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Most valuable markets: Wieczysta to Win | Both Teams to Score

Responsible Gambling Message

All Football Park predictions are powered by statistical and form-based models, not certainties. Always gamble responsibly — set limits, bet within your means, and treat betting as entertainment.

For support and resources, visit BeGambleAware.org or your local responsible gambling authority.