ADT vs Alianza Atletico Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

ADT vs Alianza Atletico Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

ADT return to action in the Peru Primera División when they host Alianza Atletico on 26 September 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 19:15 GMT. The match at Estadio Unión Tarma carries intrigue, with ADT strongly favoured by Football Park’s predictive model, which gives them a 51% chance of victory.

Following our data-led preview style, as seen in San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, this clash projects to be low-scoring but competitive. The algorithm expects 1.9 total goals, making ADT’s home strength the key factor. Previous meetings suggest a tight contest, but the statistical edge is clear: ADT hold the stronger chance of taking three points.

The standout betting angles are ADT to Win @ 1.53 and Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.73, with both markets supported by goal probability models and head-to-head outcomes.

ADT vs Alianza Atletico Predictions

Home Win Probability: 51.00%

Draw Probability: 20.00%

Away Win Probability: 29.00%

Correct Score Prediction: 2-0 ADT

Total Goals Projection: 1.9 expected goals

Top 2 Percentage Best Bets

ADT to Win @ 1.53 – Backed by a majority win probability and home advantage.

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 – With just 38.3% chance of over 2.5 goals, this is statistically favoured.

ADT vs Alianza Atletico Timeline & Match Insights

Goal Expectation: ADT (1.1) vs Alianza Atletico (0.8) reflects a modest scoring forecast.

First Half Projection: Only 0.62 goals predicted in the opening 45 minutes.

Half-Time Trends: 44.3% chance of a half-time draw, suggesting a cautious start.

Half-Time/Full-Time Edge: Home/Home is the strongest outcome – ADT leading at the break and converting it into victory.

ADT vs Alianza Atletico Matches – Head-to-Head

Past encounters underline how fine the margins are in this fixture:

28 Sep 2024 – ADT 0-1 Alianza Atletico

24 Sep 2023 – ADT 1-0 Alianza Atletico

24 Apr 2022 – ADT 1-2 Alianza Atletico

Each of the last three clashes ended 1-0 or 2-1, reinforcing the model’s prediction of a low-scoring contest.

ADT vs Alianza Atletico Betting Analysis

Home Win @ 1.53 – Represents value with over 50% model backing.

Draw @ 4.33 – Lower statistical probability, but attractive for long-shot bettors.

Away Win @ 5.50 – Priced long due to Alianza Atletico’s low away scoring projection.

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 – Strongest probability-based selection, reflecting 61.7% likelihood.

Both Teams to Score @ 2.00 – With just 45.6% chance, caution is advised here.

Best ADT vs Alianza Atletico Betting Tips

ADT to Win @ 1.53

Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.73

These are Football Park’s two highest-rated bets, combining ADT’s home edge with the algorithm’s clear under-scoring projection.

Match Facts

Date & Kick-off: 26 September 2025 | 19:15 GMT

Venue: Estadio Unión Tarma, Tarma

Predicted Scoreline: ADT 2-0 Alianza Atletico

Broadcast: Coverage available on Peru’s domestic broadcasters and select online platforms.

Responsible Gambling

Football Park’s insights are based on advanced statistical modelling and historical performance. While we aim to highlight value, outcomes remain uncertain. Bet responsibly and set personal limits.

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