Liga 1


Away Win
Arema FC 1 - 2 Persik Kediri
Who will win?
1

Arema FC
x
Draw
2

Persik Kediri
Arema FC host Persik Kediri on 11 January 2026, with kick-off set for 08:30 GMT, in a compelling Liga 1 encounter. This matchup stands out as one of the most one-sided fixtures on the Liga 1 schedule according to Football Park’s algorithm, which heavily favours the visitors. As with all Football Park previews, this analysis follows the same probability-driven framework used in San Lorenzo vs Vélez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips, combining historic head-to-head dominance, projected match flow and percentage-based outcomes. Key Betting Tip: Persik Kediri Win @ 3.00, identified as standout value with the model assigning the away side a commanding 66.7% win probability. With Persik Kediri winning every recent visit to Arema FC and goals expected at both ends, the data points firmly toward another away success.
Recent Arema FC vs Persik Kediri matches reveal a remarkably consistent pattern. Persik Kediri have won four consecutive away games against Arema FC, recording scorelines of 3–0, 1–0, 3–2 and 1–0. This run highlights not only Persik’s tactical effectiveness at this venue but also Arema’s recurring difficulties in this specific matchup.
Football Park’s model places heavy emphasis on these repeated outcomes, particularly when they align so closely with current probability projections and goal expectations.
The projected Arema FC vs Persik Kediri timeline suggests a cautious opening phase, reflected in the 50% probability of a half-time draw. However, Persik Kediri are expected to take control after the break, supported by the Away/Away half-time/full-time projection.
This mirrors previous meetings, where Persik Kediri absorbed early pressure before exploiting defensive gaps later in the match, often turning tight contests into decisive victories.
Football Park’s Arema FC vs Persik Kediri predictions are among the clearest on the Liga 1 slate. The algorithm assigns 66.7% win probability to Persik Kediri, compared to just 26.7% for Arema FC and 6.7% for the draw.
Scoring trends reinforce this view. The model projects 2.80 total match goals, with a 67.5% probability of both teams scoring. The most likely correct score is 2–1 to Persik Kediri, aligning with historical results and the expected attacking balance between the sides.
While confirmed Arema FC vs Persik Kediri lineups will only be available closer to kick-off, Football Park’s projections are built around tactical patterns rather than individual player selections. Persik Kediri’s consistent away structure and transitional efficiency are key drivers behind their strong projection.
Arema FC, meanwhile, are expected to adopt a proactive approach at home, which may again leave space for Persik Kediri to exploit on the counter.
From a match-flow perspective, this fixture is expected to remain competitive but tilted decisively toward the visitors. The model assigns a 100% probability of over 0.5 match goals, alongside 77.5% for over 1.5 goals and 67.5% for over 2.5 goals.
Rather than a slow-burning contest, Football Park anticipates steady attacking phases and increased tempo in the second half, where Persik Kediri’s efficiency has historically made the difference.
Based strictly on probability strength and market value, Football Park highlights two top-rated selections for this Liga 1 fixture:
Supported by a dominant 66.7% model probability, flawless recent away record at this venue and favourable match-flow projections.
Backed by a 67.5% probability, strong historical scoring trends and a projected 2–1 correct score.
These selections offer the clearest value angles while remaining aligned with long-term, data-driven betting principles.
This match takes place in Indonesia’s Liga 1, where early kick-off fixtures often produce open games due to tempo and tactical contrasts. Persik Kediri’s recent away performances against Arema FC significantly strengthen the case for the visitors.
Broadcast coverage will follow standard Liga 1 arrangements. Referee details are yet to be confirmed, though officiating style is not expected to materially affect the betting outlook.
From a Football Park perspective, this is one of the strongest away-win profiles on the Indonesian Liga 1 calendar. Persik Kediri’s sustained dominance in this fixture, combined with elite probability metrics and consistent goal patterns, makes them a standout value selection. While Arema FC may contribute on the scoreboard, the data strongly suggests the visitors will again control the decisive moments.
As always, bettors are encouraged to stake responsibly and view these insights as part of a long-term, disciplined betting strategy.
Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.

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