Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

• Match Date: November 7, 2025
• Kick-off (GMT): 12:00
• Competition: Indonesia Liga 1
• Venue: Brawijaya Stadium, Kediri

Persik Kediri take on Persebaya Surabaya in one of Indonesia Liga 1’s most unpredictable fixtures this weekend. The Football Park algorithm forecasts a tightly contested match with both teams evenly balanced across key performance metrics. Historical data suggests stalemate potential, but Persebaya’s resilience away from home gives them a statistical advantage in avoiding defeat.

Our top betting recommendation for this clash is Persebaya Surabaya Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.60, reflecting their consistency and tactical discipline in recent matches. The Football Park model also highlights a strong probability for Both Teams to Score, underpinned by a 70.8% confidence rating. Expect a strategic battle with limited space, late drama, and a result likely decided by small margins rather than open play dominance.

Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya Predictions

Football Park’s data-driven algorithm processes more than 200 match-specific inputs to provide accurate and objective forecasts. In this fixture, the predictive model assigns a 30% probability for a Persik Kediri home win, a 20% chance of a Persebaya Surabaya victory, and a 50% likelihood of a draw.

Expected goal projections — 1.40 for Persik Kediri and 1.10 for Persebaya Surabaya — suggest a low-scoring affair, likely shaped by cautious first-half approaches and defensive compactness. The algorithm anticipates 2.5 total goals on average, with a 70.8% chance of Both Teams to Score, a 72.5% probability of Over 1.5 Match Goals, and 52.5% for Over 2.5 Goals.

Football Park’s model therefore ranks the following as its two top-rated percentage selections for this fixture:

Persebaya Surabaya Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.60

Both Teams to Score

Both recommendations reflect underlying statistical confidence, historical reliability, and optimal value within current market pricing.

Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya Matches & Head-to-Head Timeline

The rivalry between Persik Kediri and Persebaya Surabaya has been fiercely competitive in recent years. Despite Persik’s stronger historical record at home, Persebaya have proven resilient in recent meetings, consistently finding ways to avoid defeat.

Their most recent encounter, in May 2025, finished 3-3 in one of the most dramatic Liga 1 matches of the season. Before that, Persik Kediri secured a dominant 4-0 win in October 2023, while two earlier meetings — a 1-0 Persik victory in March 2023 and a goalless draw in November 2021 — highlighted the unpredictable nature of this fixture.

Across the last four meetings, both sides have scored in three of them, producing an average of 2.75 goals per game. Persebaya’s ability to respond when trailing, combined with their improved defensive organisation under recent management, aligns with Football Park’s data trend favouring Double Chance (Win or Draw).

Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya Lineups & Tactical Overview

Confirmed lineups will be available shortly before kickoff, but tactical analysis offers a clear sense of what to expect. Persik Kediri are likely to adopt a controlled, possession-based approach at home, relying on structured build-up play and wide overloads. Their emphasis on crossing and set-piece routines has yielded results this season, but the model’s 50% draw probability indicates potential struggles in converting dominance into clear scoring opportunities.

Persebaya Surabaya, meanwhile, have developed a disciplined, counterattacking identity. Their defensive setup is designed to frustrate more expansive teams, maintaining compact lines and springing forward through quick transitional play. With 58.3% likelihood of a half-time draw, Football Park’s projection suggests a cautious start, with momentum potentially shifting toward the visitors as the match opens up in the second half.

The expected flow of the game — measured through Football Park’s possession trend model — supports an outcome where both teams score but neither dominates entirely. The most probable final score, 1-1, underscores this equilibrium and strengthens both of our top-rated betting recommendations.

Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya Predictions: Expert Betting Analysis

Top Football Park Betting Tip 1: Persebaya Surabaya Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.60

This selection represents the most statistically supported value in the market. Football Park’s model rates the probability of Persebaya avoiding defeat at 70% or higher, reflecting their recent form and adaptability in away fixtures.

While Persik Kediri’s 30% home win projection reflects moderate control at Brawijaya Stadium, Persebaya’s resilience, combined with the 50% draw probability, skews the data in favour of the Double Chance outcome. Their defensive organisation and ability to recover from losing positions — as seen in their 3-3 draw last May — make them particularly effective in matches where margins are fine.

Persebaya have also earned results in 60% of their away fixtures in 2025, outperforming market expectations. From a betting perspective, the Double Chance market at 1.60 provides both value and strategic protection against narrow outcomes.

Top Football Park Betting Tip 2: Both Teams to Score

Football Park’s algorithm assigns a 70.8% probability for both sides to find the net in this match. This reflects the balance between Persik Kediri’s attacking intent at home and Persebaya’s transitional counterplay.

Each of their last three encounters has seen multiple goals and shared scoring. Even in lower-scoring draws, both clubs have consistently generated quality opportunities, often trading goals late in matches. The projected Expected Match Goals total of 2.5 supports the BTTS market as a strong probability outcome, particularly given both teams’ defensive tendencies to concede when stretched.

For bettors, this market aligns closely with the model’s 1-1 correct score projection, offering solid value within conservative or accumulator-based strategies.

Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya Timeline & Match Flow Projection

Football Park’s match simulation predicts a measured and tactical opening phase, with both sides prioritising defensive shape over attacking risk. The first 30 minutes are expected to produce limited goalmouth action, consistent with the 42% probability of Over 0.5 First Half Goals.

As the game progresses, both teams should begin to exploit transitional moments. Persik Kediri’s ball retention will generate chances from set-pieces and wide deliveries, while Persebaya are likely to respond through direct counterattacks.

The second half is forecast to be more open, with both sides creating clear scoring opportunities. The model projects a 58.3% chance of a half-time draw, moving toward a full-time outcome of 1-1 or 1-2. This pattern supports the Double Chance and BTTS betting markets as optimal strategies for those seeking consistent, data-backed outcomes.

Persik Kediri vs Persebaya Surabaya Matches – Betting Markets & Insights

Current market odds position Persik Kediri as narrow favourites at 2.10, with Persebaya Surabaya available at 3.25 and the draw at 3.20. The statistical distribution of probabilities, however, shows that value lies not in the outright win markets but in combination and protection-based bets such as Double Chance and Both Teams to Score.

Given the evenly matched profiles of both teams and the high draw probability, Football Park’s data model recommends avoiding outright selections and instead focusing on outcome protection markets that provide both coverage and value. These insights align closely with the projected statistical landscape and historical scoring trends between these two clubs.

Responsible Betting Advice

Football Park advocates responsible and informed betting. Our algorithm-based predictions are designed to guide strategy and improve long-term decision-making, not to guarantee profits. Always wager within your means and use Football Park’s data insights as part of a structured, disciplined betting approach.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football. Our expert analysts and proprietary models deliver detailed match previews, high-confidence predictions, and betting insights grounded in reliable statistical frameworks.

For more upcoming fixtures, expert analysis, and real-time updates, explore Football Park’s dedicated sections for Liga 1 predictions, BTTS betting tips, and Double Chance strategy guides across global football competitions.