Persik Kediri vs Semen Padang Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Persik Kediri host Semen Padang on 27 November 2025 at 08:30 GMT in Indonesia Liga 1, with Football Park’s predictive algorithm signalling a match weighted firmly toward the home side. Following the same analytical blueprint used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips template, this preview is driven by more than 200 data points assessing tactical matchups, attacking patterns, transitional phases and probability-weighted outcomes.

Persik Kediri enter the contest with a commanding 66.70 percent win probability, compared with Semen Padang’s 20 percent, and the model forecasts an expected 2.80 total goals, powered largely by Persik’s superior output metrics. With a projected 2-1 correct scoreline, elevated BTTS percentages and a strong home-force advantage, this matchup provides several statistically grounded opportunities for bettors aiming to extract value from a market tilted toward the hosts.

Persik Kediri vs Semen Padang Predictions

Football Park’s model heavily favours Persik Kediri based on their sustained attacking phases, superior expected goal involvement and strong probability indicators in the decisive phases of play.

Key model outputs include:

• Home Win probability: 66.70 percent
• Away Win probability: 20.00 percent
• Draw probability: 13.30 percent
• Both Teams to Score probability: 86.70 percent
• Over 2.5 Goals probability: 60.00 percent
• Correct Score: 2-1

Persik Kediri’s expected 1.90 goals outpace Semen Padang’s 0.90, with Persik’s high pressing efficiency and direct central progression contributing significantly to their statistical advantage. Semen Padang, while capable in transitions, rank lower across the model in chance conversion and defensive stability.

Persik Kediri vs Semen Padang Matches: Head-to-Head Outline

Head-to-head data between these two clubs is limited, but recent history supports the model’s prediction. Their last recorded meeting on 21 December 2024 ended with Persik Kediri winning 3-1, a result that aligns with the current projection of Persik controlling the contest through stronger attacking cohesion.

Across comparative opponent modelling:

• Semen Padang typically struggle against sides that dominate central channels and quick vertical progression.
• Persik Kediri excel in home fixtures that require sustained pressure and structured possession recovery.

The model anticipates a similar pattern: Persik creating the higher-value chances, while Semen Padang rely on opportunistic transitional moments.

Best Persik Kediri vs Semen Padang Betting Tips

(Targets keyword: “Persik Kediri vs Semen Padang predictions” & “Persik Kediri vs Semen Padang lineups” – without providing any lineups)

Only the top two highest-percentage Football Park selections are included.

1. Persik Kediri Win

Odds: 1.70

Backed by a 66.70 percent win probability, this is the strongest model-supported angle. Persik Kediri’s home-phase metrics, superior chance creation and significantly higher expected scoring output position them as clear favourites. Semen Padang’s 20 percent win probability underscores the statistical gap.

2. Correct Score: 2-1 Persik Kediri

The algorithm’s second-most reliable selection arises from the interplay of two major indicators:

An 86.70 percent BTTS probability, driven by Persik’s aggressive attacking structure and Semen Padang’s particularly fragile defensive metrics.

Persik Kediri’s superior finishing likelihood and ability to generate high-frequency chances late in each half.

Together, these data streams produce a strong tilt toward a narrow but controlled Persik victory.

Persik Kediri vs Semen Padang Match Facts

Referee: To be confirmed. Card and foul data will be updated once assignment is made.

Broadcast Details: Indonesia Liga 1 fixtures are typically available through domestic streaming providers, with selected international coverage depending on regional broadcaster agreements.

Venue Insight: Persik Kediri’s home fixtures tend to feature early territorial control but delayed scoring impact. With only a 20 percent chance of 1.5+ first-half goals, the model indicates a more gradual build in attacking momentum, before Persik assert dominance in the second half.

Persik Kediri vs Semen Padang Timeline: How the Match Could Unfold

0–20 minutes: Cautious opening phase. Possession remains with Persik, but chance creation is limited.

20–45 minutes: Semen Padang’s transitional moments increase as Persik begin to stretch the defensive unit. BTTS probability rises.

45–70 minutes: This is Persik Kediri’s most dominant projection window. Their pressing and regained-possession patterns generate higher-quality chances.

70–90 minutes: Semen Padang push higher, leaving defensive gaps. Persik’s likelihood of scoring a decisive goal peaks in this period.

Football Park Predictions

Football Park provides bettors with a range of different football betting predictions across Europe, the EFL and Non-League football.