Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

The Indonesia Liga 1 action continues as Pusamania Borneo host Dewa United on 5 November 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 12:00 GMT. The match takes place at the Segiri Stadium in Samarinda, where Borneo will look to extend their dominant record over Dewa United in recent seasons. Football Park’s advanced prediction model — based on more than 200 performance variables — gives Pusamania Borneo an 80% probability of victory, making Pusamania Borneo to Win @ 2.00 the standout selection for this fixture.

The data-driven algorithm also highlights a potential for multiple goals, projecting an expected goals total of 2.6 and forecasting Borneo to control possession from start to finish. Historical trends and statistical probabilities point firmly toward a home win, with Borneo’s superior consistency and tactical discipline likely to be decisive.

Match Details

• Competition: Indonesia Liga 1
• Date: 05 November 2025
• Kick-off (GMT): 12:00
• Venue: Segiri Stadium, Samarinda

Key Betting Tip: Pusamania Borneo to Win @ 2.00 offers strong value based on Football Park’s 80% home win projection.

Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United Timeline / Previous Matches

The Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United timeline shows clear dominance from the hosts in recent meetings. Borneo have won each of the last three encounters, scoring seven goals while conceding just one. Their home advantage has been particularly telling, with clean sheets in back-to-back matches at the Segiri Stadium.

• 02 Nov 2024: Pusamania Borneo 1–0 Dewa United
• 28 Oct 2023: Pusamania Borneo 3–1 Dewa United
• 23 Aug 2022: Pusamania Borneo 3–0 Dewa United

Across these fixtures, Borneo have averaged 2.3 goals per match, compared to Dewa United’s 0.3, underscoring the gulf in both attacking efficiency and defensive organisation.

Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United Predictions

Football Park’s data-driven algorithm assigns a significant advantage to Pusamania Borneo in this matchup. Their 80% win probability reflects both superior home metrics and head-to-head dominance.

Model Breakdown

• Home Win: 80.00%
• Draw: 0.00%
• Away Win: 20.00%
• Both Teams to Score: 38.90%
• Expected Home Goals: 1.80
• Expected Away Goals: 0.80
• Expected Match Goals: 2.60

The model predicts a 3–0 final scoreline, consistent with Borneo’s home scoring trends and Dewa’s struggles to generate high-quality chances on the road. The Half-Time/Full-Time pattern of Home/Home (42.3% probability) further supports an early and sustained advantage for the hosts.

Top Rated Percentage Selections

1. Pusamania Borneo to Win (80% Probability) @ 2.00

Football Park’s model overwhelmingly favours the home side. With a calculated win likelihood of 80%, this market provides one of the highest statistical value opportunities in the Indonesia Liga 1 round. Borneo’s blend of efficient finishing and low defensive risk makes this selection the best-backed play.

2. Under 3.5 Total Goals (66% Probability)

While Borneo are expected to win comfortably, the model projects a controlled tempo rather than a high-scoring thriller. The expected goal total of 2.6 and a 38.9% probability for Both Teams to Score both point toward a home win with limited scoring from Dewa United. A 3–0 or 2–0 result aligns closely with this data-driven scenario.

Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United Lineups & Tactical Outlook

Confirmed Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United lineups will be released on matchday, but Football Park’s tactical model offers a predictive overview of both teams’ expected approaches.

Pusamania Borneo are expected to employ their trademark 4-3-3 system, focusing on quick vertical transitions and aggressive wing play. Their ability to stretch opposition defences and dominate in one-on-one duels gives them a consistent attacking edge. The data model highlights Borneo’s efficiency in converting home-field advantage into points — they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match at the Segiri Stadium.

Dewa United, by contrast, typically deploy a 4-2-3-1 shape, prioritising structure over expansion. However, their recent struggles in possession-based sequences and vulnerability in defending early crosses could be exploited by Borneo’s wide press and front-line movement.

Football Park’s simulation predicts that Borneo will likely dictate possession (estimated 58–62%), controlling the rhythm through central midfield while Dewa rely on sporadic counter-attacks.

Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United Match Insights

• Predicted Correct Score: 3–0 Pusamania Borneo
• Expected Match Goals: 2.6
• Expected First Half Goals: 0.87
• Over 0.5 First Half Goals Probability: 56%
• Over 1.5 First Half Goals Probability: 24%
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 38.9%
• Half-Time / Full-Time Trend: Home/Home

Football Park’s algorithm indicates an early breakthrough for the home side, likely within the first 25 minutes, followed by defensive consolidation. Borneo’s home matches this season average 2.5 total goals, making a controlled win with a clean sheet the most probable outcome.

Betting Strategy & Expert Analysis

For bettors seeking data-driven value, Pusamania Borneo to Win @ 2.00 remains the standout play. With a projected 80% probability of success, the odds provide positive expected value against the bookmaker line.

The secondary market of interest is Under 3.5 Goals, aligning with Football Park’s model of a controlled 3–0 or 2–0 Borneo victory. Although the model projects 2.6 total goals, the 33% probability of Over 3.5 suggests restraint on high-goal markets.

Punters may also consider a Half-Time/Full-Time Home/Home @ 2.60 play, given the 42.3% probability of Borneo leading at both intervals.

Responsible Gambling Advice

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Pusamania Borneo vs Dewa United Predictions Summary

Football Park’s advanced simulation model forecasts another dominant home performance from Pusamania Borneo, who possess both the tactical superiority and psychological edge in this matchup. Dewa United’s inability to maintain defensive cohesion on the road makes them vulnerable to sustained pressure and set-piece exposure.

Predicted Scoreline: Pusamania Borneo 3–0 Dewa United

Top Betting Selections:

Pusamania Borneo to Win @ 2.00 (80% Model Confidence)

Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.75 (66% Model Confidence)

Expected Match Goals: 2.6

Most Likely Half-Time/Full-Time Pattern: Home/Home

Why Trust Football Park Predictions?

At Football Park, every forecast is generated from a proprietary data model that analyses over 200 match-specific variables, including possession profiles, conversion rates, defensive stability, and tactical efficiency. Our predictions are built on long-term model validation, delivering consistent insight for bettors across global football markets.

We specialise in data-driven football predictions across major and minor leagues — from Europe and South America to Asia’s emerging competitions.

Key Takeaways

• Best Bet: Pusamania Borneo to Win @ 2.00 (80% confidence)
• Secondary Bet: Under 3.5 Goals (66% probability)
• Predicted Score: 3–0 Pusamania Borneo
• Match Outlook: Early control, defensive solidity, and efficient finishing for the home side.

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