Pusamania Borneo vs Persepam Madura Utd Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Pusamania Borneo vs Persepam Madura Utd Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Pusamania Borneo host Persepam Madura Utd in Indonesia Liga 1 on 22 November 2025, with kick-off at 12:00 GMT, in a matchup shaped by contrasting trends, explosive attacking potential and strong analytical value for bettors. Played at Borneo’s home stadium in Samarinda, this fixture historically leans toward decisive outcomes, with Pusamania Borneo often asserting dominance through fast transitions, strong wide play and sustained pressure.

Football Park’s predictive model, built on the same advanced methodology showcased in the San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips feature, assigns Pusamania Borneo a commanding 66.70% win probability — one of the highest projections on the Liga 1 matchday. With an expected 2.00 home goal output, a 2.90 match goal projection, and a model-backed correct score of 3-0, this fixture profiles as one where Borneo’s attacking structure can overpower a Persepam side that has struggled for consistency in their defensive shape.

This preview delivers a complete, data-backed breakdown of the match, highlighting tactical expectations, head-to-head trends, best bets and strategic opportunities for bettors.

Pusamania Borneo vs Persepam Madura Utd Predictions

Football Park’s model strongly favours the home side:

• Home Win: 66.70%
• Draw: 13.30%
• Away Win: 20.00%

These figures reflect Borneo’s superior shot creation, more consistent finishing patterns and more balanced defensive structure.

• Correct Score Prediction: Pusamania Borneo 3-0 Persepam Madura Utd

The model’s scoreline highlights two key factors:

Pusamania Borneo’s ability to score in waves and maintain pressure for extended periods

Persepam Madura Utd’s vulnerability when forced to defend deep for long spells

• Expected Match Goals: 2.90 This suggests strong attacking activity from the home side.

Pusamania Borneo vs Persepam Madura Utd Lineups Insight

Official lineups for Pusamania Borneo vs Persepam Madura Utd will be released shortly before kick-off. While player-specific predictions are excluded from this preview, Football Park’s tactical modelling identifies recurring match behaviours relevant regardless of personnel.

Pusamania Borneo Tactical Patterns

• High-intensity attacking phases, especially at home
• Strong wing-play width leading to high cross volume
• Quick transitions from midfield to the final third
• Reliable early-game pressure reflected in a 40.00% Half-Time Home Win probability

Borneo’s structured attacking shape frequently forces opponents into deep defensive phases that are difficult to sustain for 90 minutes.

Persepam Madura Utd Tactical Patterns

• Counter-attacking emphasis whenever possession is regained
• Defence that often collapses under heavy sustained pressure
• Difficulty resisting teams with strong wide progression
• Low scoring probability at 0.90 expected away goals, indicating a challenging match ahead

These traits combine to form a matchup where Pusamania Borneo’s style directly exploits Persepam’s weaknesses.

Pusamania Borneo vs Persepam Madura Utd Timeline & Goal Expectations

Football Park’s timeline modelling indicates a match that opens steadily but evolves into a high-quality attacking display from the hosts.

Match Goal Probabilities

• Over 0.5 Goals: 95.00%
• Over 1.5 Goals: 75.00%
• Over 2.5 Goals: 55.00%
• Over 3.5 Goals: 50.00%

The standout number here is 50.00% for Over 3.5 Goals, unusually high for Liga 1 — an indicator of Borneo’s strong offensive expectation.

First Half Goal Projection

• Over 0.5 First Half Goals: 60.00%
• Over 1.5 First Half Goals: 33.00%

These projections favour a measured first half with Borneo applying increasing pressure as the half progresses.

Half-Time Result Probabilities

• Home: 40.00%
• Draw: 46.70%
• Away: 13.30%

This indicates that even if Persepam survive the opening exchanges, Borneo’s control should translate into goals after half-time.

Pusamania Borneo vs Persepam Madura Utd Matches (Head-to-Head Timeline)

Recent meetings show a severe imbalance in favour of Pusamania Borneo:

• 14 Dec 2024 – Borneo 5-0 Persepam
• 19 May 2024 – Borneo 2-3 Persepam
• 17 Apr 2024 – Borneo 0-4 Persepam
• 01 Oct 2022 – Borneo 3-0 Persepam
• 14 Jun 2022 – Borneo 1-0 Persepam
• 25 Mar 2022 – Borneo 0-1 Persepam
• 18 Sep 2019 – Borneo 2-1 Persepam
• 27 Apr 2018 – Borneo 2-2 Persepam
• 04 Jul 2017 – Borneo 3-0 Persepam

Important patterns emerge:

• Borneo have scored 3 or more goals in four of the last eight meetings
• Persepam’s 2024 wins were anomaly results in an otherwise Borneo-dominant fixture
• Borneo’s recent 5-0 victory is the most relevant, closely matching this week’s algorithmic forecast
• When playing at home, Borneo have repeatedly overwhelmed Persepam with pace, width and pressing.

Pusamania Borneo vs Persepam Madura Utd Predictions Insight

Football Park’s predictive system integrates 200+ variables, including scoring probability ranges, tactical indicators, past match frameworks and model-adjusted goal sequencing. The following findings define the expected match narrative:

Key Data-Driven Observations

• 66.70% Home Win probability makes Borneo one of the strongest favourites across Indonesia Liga 1 this weekend
• 0.90 expected away goals illustrates how restricted Persepam’s scoring chances are likely to be
• The 3-0 correct score aligns with Borneo’s heavy-shot-volume profile
• 40.00% BTTS expectation suggests Persepam may struggle to create multiple clean scoring chances
• Strong late-match scoring potential due to Persepam’s historically declining defensive resistance

This modelling establishes Borneo as both statistically and tactically superior.

For additional analysis across Liga 1 and Southeast Asia, readers can explore Football Park’s full list of predictions and betting insights.

Best Pusamania Borneo vs Persepam Madura Utd Betting Tips

Only Football Park’s top two percentage-backed selections are included.

1. Pusamania Borneo Win @ 1.36

Supported by:

• 66.70% win probability
• Dominant home advantage
• Repeated high-margin wins in this fixture
• Strong goal projection of 2.00

This is the standout selection based on the model’s output.

2. Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67

Supported by:

• 55.00% Over 2.5 Goals probability
• 50.00% Over 3.5 Goals probability – unusually high
• Borneo’s attacking dominance and finishing patterns
• Historic high-scoring margins (5-0, 3-0, 3-0, 3-0)

This market provides excellent alignment between historical outcomes and predictive modelling.

Betting Strategy Recommendations

Low-Risk Strategy

Pusamania Borneo to Win A safe, model-backed selection with consistent long-term reliability.

Medium-Risk Strategy

Over 2.5 Goals Strong predictive alignment and favourable match style.

High-Risk Strategy

Correct Score – Pusamania Borneo 3-0 Matches Football Park’s primary algorithmic projection and recent head-to-head outcomes.

Always follow responsible wagering principles and practice sustainable bankroll management.

Lineups Insight Reminder

Matchday lineups will be confirmed prior to kick-off. Football Park’s model is based on deep seasonal performance metrics, not speculative personnel assumptions, ensuring stability and reliability of predictions.

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