Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips Predictions

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

Israel Ligat Ha’al action continues on 15 September 2025 at 18:30 GMT, as Hapoel Tel Aviv welcome Beitar Jerusalem in one of the fiercest rivalries in Israeli football. The clash at Bloomfield Stadium pits two sides with contrasting momentum: Beitar dominated this fixture last season, but Football Park’s predictive algorithm — the same trusted model used in our San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield preview — assigns a surprising edge to the home side this time.

Our in-depth analysis covers historical head-to-head trends, algorithm-driven probabilities, and the most valuable betting tips. With over 200 statistical data points factored in, the Football Park model identifies where punters can find the smartest plays ahead of this highly anticipated matchup.

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Predictions

Home Win Probability: 60.00%

Draw Probability: 6.70%

Away Win Probability: 33.30%

Correct Score Prediction: Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem

Top 2 Percentage Best Bets

Hapoel Tel Aviv to Win @ 3.40 – A 60% probability makes this a standout value play against market expectations.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 – With a 60% likelihood, this aligns with historical fixtures that have often produced high-scoring outcomes.

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Timeline & Match Insights

Expected Match Goals: 2.7 total goals, indicating an open, attack-minded contest.

First Half Projection: 53% chance of at least one goal before the interval.

Both Teams to Score: Just 43.3%, suggesting that one side could dominate scoring.

Half-Time/Full-Time: Draw/Hapoel Tel Aviv is the most likely path, highlighting the home side’s strength in second-half surges.

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Matches – Head-to-Head

27 Apr 2024: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-5 Beitar Jerusalem

22 Jan 2024: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem

09 Nov 2022: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem

13 Aug 2022: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 Beitar Jerusalem

18 Oct 2021: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Beitar Jerusalem

07 Aug 2021: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 Beitar Jerusalem

24 Apr 2021: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 Beitar Jerusalem

31 Oct 2020: Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Beitar Jerusalem

02 Jun 2020: Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem

01 Dec 2019: Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem

Trend: Beitar have had the upper hand in recent meetings, but Hapoel have shown resilience at home with notable wins across the last five years.

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Betting Analysis

Home Win @ 3.40 – Strong algorithm value, outpacing bookmaker pricing.

Away Win @ 1.95 – Priced as favourite, but carries lower probability than implied.

Draw @ 3.40 – At just 6.7% probability, the algorithm strongly downplays this outcome.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 – Backed by 60% confidence, a high-scoring game is expected.

Both Teams to Score @ 1.73 – Not a priority bet given the algorithm projects under 50%.

Best Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Beitar Jerusalem Betting Tips

Hapoel Tel Aviv to Win @ 3.40 – Outstanding value backed by a 60% probability.

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.85 – Consistent with expected goal models and historic scoring trends in this rivalry.

Match Facts

Venue: Bloomfield Stadium, Tel Aviv

Date & Kick-off: 15 September 2025, 18:30 GMT

Correct Score Prediction: Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem

Broadcast Details: Sport 1 (Israel), international Ligat Ha’al partners

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