Sporting Gijón vs Eibar Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips

LaLiga 2

Sporting Gijón
2 - 1 Our Prediction

vs

Eibar
2 - 1 Our Prediction

Sporting Gijón vs Eibar Predictions

Home Win — Sporting Gijón 2-1 Eibar

Best price around 2.15 at time of writing.

Match Details

Competition: Spain LaLiga 2
Date: Sunday 16 November 2025
Kick-off: 15:15 GMT
Venue: El Molinón-Enrique Castro “Quini”, Gijón

Preview

Sporting at El Molinón has been a strong angle in this fixture recently: a 1-0 win in May 2024 and a 0-0 draw in February 2025 show how much they enjoy playing this matchup at home.

Our experts say the numbers lean towards a home win. Sporting’s win probability sits around 60%, with expected goals at 1.5 vs 1.0 in their favour and a total of 2.5 expected match goals. Their ability to dominate territory and create from wide areas gives them a narrow but consistent edge.

Key Prediction Metrics

• Home Win Probability: 60.00%
• Draw Probability: 13.30%
• Away Win Probability: 26.70%
• Both Teams to Score Probability: 56.70%
• Expected Match Goals: 2.50
• Correct Score Prediction: 2-1
• Half-Time / Full-Time Projection: Home / Home
• First-Half Over 0.5 Goals: 67.00%

Our experts say Sporting start fast at home, and Eibar’s pressing style often leaves gaps for quick transitions, the perfect setup for Sporting’s wide players to exploit.

Best Bets

1️⃣ Sporting Gijón to Win @ 2.15
Main selection with a small model edge on the home side.

2️⃣ Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40
Safe builder leg, aligning with the 2.5-goal projection.

3️⃣ Both Teams To Score @ 2.00
Backed by a 56.7% probability — a good secondary pick.

Alternative: First Half Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.50 if you prefer early action.

Predicted Lineups

Sporting Gijón (4-2-3-1, predicted)
Rubén Yáñez; Guille Rosas, Pablo Vázquez, Lucas Perrin, Diego Sánchez; Justin Smith, Nacho Méndez; Nico Serrano, César Gelabert, Gaspar Campos; Juan Otero.

Eibar (4-2-3-1, predicted)
Jon Magunagoitia; Álvaro Tejero, Aritz Arambarri, Anaitz Arbilla, Ríos Reina; Javi Muñoz, Sergio Álvarez; Xeber Alkain, Matheus Pereira (or Quique/Antonio Puertas), Jon Bautista.

Player to Watch

Gaspar Campos (Sporting Gijón)
Direct, confident and always a goal threat cutting in from the left. He thrives in home fixtures and is likely to be the game’s difference-maker if Sporting edge it.

Tactical Breakdown

Sporting’s 4-2-3-1 gives them balance, Gelabert connects midfield and attack while Campos and Serrano stretch play wide. Eibar’s counter-attacking structure could keep them in the game, but away from home they tend to fade after the hour mark.

If Sporting manage transitions cleanly and use the flanks effectively, they should take all three points.

Football Park Verdict

Main Tip: Sporting Gijón to Win @ 2.15
Correct Score Prediction: 2-1 Sporting Gijón
Secondary: Over 1.5 Goals / BTTS

Our experts say Sporting’s home consistency and sharper front line should be enough to edge a competitive match at El Molinón.