BTTS Yes
Alaves 1 - 2 Elche
Who will win?
1
Alaves
x
Draw
2
Elche
## Alavés vs Elche Predictions, Lineups & Betting Tips
Alavés host Elche at the Mendizorrotza Stadium on Sunday, 5 October 2025 (13:00 GMT) in La Liga. The match looks finely balanced with Alavés carrying a 31.0% win probability, while Elche edge the contest with 42.3% chance of victory. The model expects a 1-2 away win, with both teams to score highly likely (70%) and at least two goals projected.
Date: 5 October 2025
Kick-Off: 13:00 GMT
Competition: Spain La Liga
Venue: Mendizorrotza Stadium, Vitoria-Gasteiz (19,840 capacity)
Referee: TBC
Spain: Movistar+ La Liga
UK: Viaplay Sports, LaLigaTV
International: ESPN+, DAZN, beIN Sports
Home Win Probability: 31.0%
Away Win Probability: 42.3%
Draw Probability: 26.7%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-2
Both Teams to Score Probability: 70.0%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Away
Both Teams to Score @ 2.20 – Strong value given 70% probability of BTTS.
Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.53 – With 2.2 expected match goals, two or more looks a safe play.
Expected Match Goals: 2.20
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 100%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 73%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 10%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.04 (71% chance of at least one goal before HT)
Best Bet 1: Both Teams to Score @ 2.20
Best Bet 2: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.53
The data points towards a tight clash with Elche slightly stronger in attack, but Alavés capable of scoring at home. A 1-2 away win aligns with both model projections and betting value.
26 Oct 2021 – Alavés 1-0 Elche
31 Jul 2021 – Alavés 0-1 Elche
18 Oct 2020 – Alavés 0-2 Elche
Elche have had the upper hand in recent encounters, winning two of the last three.
At Football Park, we use advanced data to highlight value bets, but remember football can always surprise. Bet responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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