BTTS No
Alaves 0 - 0 Levante
Who will win?
1
Alaves
x
Draw
2
Levante
Mendizorrotza Stadium will stage the Alaves vs Levante clash in La Liga on Saturday, August 16, 2025, with kick-off at 20:30 GMT. Football Park’s predictive model rates this as one of the most evenly balanced fixtures of the weekend, assigning both teams a 40.00% win probability and a 20.00% chance of a draw. Goals may be at a premium here, with the algorithm projecting a low-scoring encounter and a 0-0 correct score as the most likely outcome.
Recent history supports that view — four of the last six meetings in Vitoria have ended with two goals or fewer, including a goalless draw as recently as June 2023. This looks like a tactical, cagey affair where defensive discipline will dominate the narrative.
Match Details: August 16, 2025 | Mendizorrotza Stadium | Spain La Liga | 20:30 GMT
Football Park’s Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 – supported by a 70%+ historical hit rate in recent head-to-head meetings.
Our two highest-probability selections for this match are:
Under 2.5 Goals – 70%+ Historical Probability
Half-Time Draw – 53.30% Probability
The model’s predicted correct score is 0-0, reflecting the limited attacking projections and strong defensive tendencies from both sides.
With just a 55.00% probability for Over 1.5 goals and only a 30.00% chance of Over 2.5 goals, the value lies in expecting a tight contest. Past encounters at Mendizorrotza have largely been decided by fine margins.
The high 53.30% probability of a stalemate at the break matches the historical trend of slow starts between these two, making this a solid supporting bet.
Expect a cautious opening phase, with both sides wary of conceding first. Alaves’ projected 0.90 goals and Levante’s 1.20 suggest that while there may be moments of threat, both attacks could struggle to break through well-organised defences.
4 of the last 6 meetings in Vitoria have finished with Under 2.5 Goals.
The last meeting at Mendizorrotza ended 0-0 (June 2023).
Levante have scored just twice in their last four away matches against Alaves.
This match has all the signs of a low-scoring, tactical battle. Both teams will focus on structure and patience rather than risk-taking, making a draw — and potentially a goalless one — the most probable result.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.53
Half-Time Draw @ 1.90
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