La Liga


Home Win
Atletico Madrid 3 - 0 Valencia
Who will win?
1

Atletico Madrid
x
Draw
2

Valencia
Valencia head to the country’s capital this weekend to take on an Atletico Madrid side that they have an awful record against over the last decade. The Murciélagos will find no confidence from their form, either with the club underperforming once again this campaign. For the hosts, it's business as usual as Atleti once again look like a team to beat 90% of the league but fall short against the few that lie above them.
Key Betting Tip: Atletico Madrid to Win and Over 2.5 Goals at 1.90 odds (talkSPORT BET) represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.
Valencia are yet to win at the Metropolitano since its opening in 2017, and we don’t think that will change anytime soon.
Atletico Madrid Predicted XI: Oblak (GK), Molina, Pubill, Lenglet, Hancko, Barrios, Gallagher, Gonzalez, Simeone, Almada, Alvarez
Team News: Jose Gimenez, Diego Llorente, and Alex Baena are all yet to return from injury.
Valencia Predicted XI: Agirrezabala (GK), Gaya, Copete, Comert, Correia, Pepelu, Guerra, Danjuma, Almeida, Rioja, Duro
Team News: Mouctar Diakhaby and Stole Dimitrievski are both injury doubts for this fixture, Cesar Tarrega is suspended due to yellow card accumulation.
Atletico Madrid are 4th in La Liga with 31 points from 16 games (9W, 4D, 3L). Only Villareal (13) have conceded fewer goals than Atleti this season (15), and only the top three have scored more (31 goals scored), making 4th place a fitting spot for the home side at this stage of the campaign.
Valencia are 16th in La Liga with 15 points from 15 games (3W, 6D, 6L). Only the bottom three have a worse goal difference than Murciélagos, failing to impress at either end of the pitch. Once European regulars, this is Valencia’s sixth straight season without European football, with their position in the table highlighting the standards of the club right now.
This historic match-up has seen both teams go through periods of dominance over the years; this has left the clubs with a historic record of 23 wins to Valencia, 30 to Atleti, and 21 draws. Atletico’s rise in the last two decades under Diego Simeone has led the club to dominate this fixture. Valencia have won one of the last 21 meetings dating back to 2014.
Notably, only one side has scored in each of the last six meetings, making BTTS bets a risky move.
Recent Head-to-Head Results:
Atletico Madrid Last 5 Matches:
Atleti lost on the opening day of the La Liga season before entering a 13-game unbeaten streak, which came to an end against Barcelona last week. Last week was a rough period for the club as they lost back-to-back games for the first time this season.
Valencia Last 5 Matches:
It has now been nine La Liga games since Valencia scored more than one goal, highlighting how poor the visitors have been in front of goal. They are unbeaten in five games in all competitions; however, they have kept one clean sheet in that time.
Our advanced algorithm analyses over 200 data points to generate these predictions with 73.3% confidence in an Atletico Madrid win. The model factors in current form, head-to-head records, player availability, and tactical matchups.
Football Park’s Best Bet: Atletico Madrid to Win @ 1.90 - Our team of in-house betting tipsters have predicted a home win in this fixture. Their superior form, home advantage, and head-to-head record justify confidence in this selection.
Julian Alvarez (Atletico Madrid): An ever-present up top as Atleti’s main man. Alvarez has 7 league goals this season, but hasn’t found the back of the net in La Liga action since the beginning of November. Never too far from his next strike, it's only a matter of time before he scores again for Rojiblancos.
Hugo Duro (Valencia): The Spaniard has two goals in his last three league games and is Valencia’s key goal threat. Placing a form of bet on Duro to have a shot or shots on target would be a smart move.
Broadcast Details: Premier Sports Player/La Liga TV
Stadium Information: The Riyadh Air Metropolitano is an ultra-modern stadium and the home ground of Atlético Madrid. It is situated in the Rosas neighbourhood of the San Blas-Canillejas district in Madrid, Spain. The site was originally opened in 1994 as the Estadio Olímpico de Madrid but underwent a major reconstruction and reopened in 2017 as the new home of the club. Its current capacity is around 70,692 spectators.
Referee: Yet to be announced.

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