Elche vs Girona Predictions and Betting Tips

Elche vs Girona Predictions and Betting Tips

Match Details: Sunday 7 November | Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero | La Liga | 13:00 GMT

Two sides which love a good draw face off this Sunday in La Liga, as Elche host a rather dissapointing Girona side who have won just twice in 14 league matches, whilst Elche have won three times. Elche have drew three out of their last three home games, and are still unbeaten in their fortress, accompanied by the likes of Barcelona and Real Madrid, whilst Girona haven't won an away game, interesting.

Key Betting Tips: Elche double chance at 1.33 odds on BoyleSports represents excellent value based on the tip provided by our team of in-house tipsters.

Alternatively, Elche to win at 2.00 provides good value, as they host a side with zero away wins to their name, as the home team boast a 7 game unbeaten streak at home this season, winning three and drawing four.

Elche vs Girona Predictions

As detailed by our in-house tipster with the helps of AI and over 200 data points, the current probabilites for key match events are as follows:

Home Win (%) - 46.70 Away Win (%) - 13.30 Draw (%) - 40.00 Expected Home Goals - 1.20 Expected Away Goals - 1.00 Both Teams to Score (%) - 66.70

Our algorithmic AI tool indicates that a cagey affair is what we have ahead of us, with the tie being decided by just one goal in favour of Elche rather than Girona, as they represent a 46.7% chance of taking the three points, and a combined 86.7% chance of not losing.

The model predicts that there is a decent chance of both teams scoring however, with confidence of 66.7% chance of this taking place, taking into account their recent head-to-head form, in which Girona have won the past three matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding once.

This fixture has seen under 3.5 goals in every game since 2016, which adds to 8 consecutive games, and in seven of them, there has been under 2.5 goals, so a tight affair is what we see the outcome of this match will end up.

Elche vs Girona Score Prediction

Elche 1-1 Girona

The home side are unbeaten in the competiton at their ground, but have never been convincing against Girona, who managed to draw against second in the league Real Madrid in their last La Liga outing, so we predict that they can get a goal and scrape a draw, continuing Elche's drawing streak at home.

Elche vs Girona Team Stat Attack

Elche:

• Unbeaten at home this season (3W 4D)
• No clean sheets in their last five matches
• 14 of their 15 goals have been from open play in La Liga this season
• Sixth highest average rating in La Liga this season (6.88)
• The third highest possession in La Liga this season (58%) (Behind Barcelona and Real Madrid)

Girona:

• Haven't won an away game this season (3L 3D)
• The second most goals conceded per match in La Liga this season (1.90)
• Won the previous 3 H2H games
• The most xG conceded in La Liga this season (26.2)
• The most red cards in La Liga this season (5)

Elche vs Girona Recent Form Analysis

Elche's last win in La Liga came all the way back in September, where they beat Celta Vigo 2-1 at home, and since then, their domestic form has been rather woeful to say the least. Defeats to teams such as Deportivo, Espanyol and Getafe display a low sense of confidence on the road, losing all of those games by either not scoring, or by two goals. Elche don't seem to have a problem holding onto the ball however, but when it comes to chance creation, they lack the spark which could push them higher in the table, as their xG is a measly 15.0, which is the 8th lowest in the division. Unbeaten at home however we do expect them to get a result here, but form suggests it won't be easy, and it may not even be a win.

Girona have really fell straight into the dumps in recent time, having finished fourth in the 24/24 campaign, most of their star players walked out the door to pursue bigger and brighter opportunites, but it's no excuse for their dismal season so far. 0 wins on the road displays a lack of confidence with less supporting fans, and nerves will only begin to grow as long as this record stands. 26 goals conceded in14 games ranks them at the bottom of the pile tied with Levante, as they sit just three points from 20th place. However they are starting to find their rythm, standing at three games unbeaten, beating Deportivo and drawing to two incredible teams; Real Betis and Real Madrid.

A draw is looking likely if we base it off the H2H and recent form, as Elche will fight for their lives to keep this incredible streak at home going.

Werder Bremen vs 1. FC Köln H2H

Jan 6, 2024 Elche 0-2 Girona - Copa del Rey

Apr 16, 2023 Girona 2-0 Elche - La Liga

Nov 8, 2022 Elche 1-2 Girona - La Liga

Aug 23, 2020 Girona 0-1 Elche - Segunda División Play Offs

Aug 20, 2020 Elche 0-0 Girona - Segunda División Play Offs

This fixture seems to be a low scoring one, with both sides rarely dominating.

Elche Recent Matches

• CD Quintanar del Ray 1-2 Elche - Copa Del Ray
• Getafe 1-0 Elche - La Liga
• Elche 2-2 Real Madrid - La Liga
• Elche 1-1 Real Sociedad - La Liga
• Barcelona 3-1 Elche - La Liga

Elche have been struggling in La Liga recently, but a draw to giants Real Madrid in their most recent outing can serve as a huge confidence boost ahead of this tie.

Girona Recent Matches

• Ourense 2-1 Girona - Copa Del Ray
• Girona 1-1 Real Madrid - La Liga
• Real Betis 1-1 Girona - La Liga
• Girona 1-0 Deportivo Alaves - La Liga
• Getafe 2-1 Girona - La Liga

A few decent results in recent times for Girona could spark an interesting outcome ahead of this affair, in which they big underdogs.

Elche vs Girona Betting Tips

Football Park's Best Bet: Elche double chance @ 1.33. Our team of in-house experts has priced Elche to either win or draw in this match, as they remain one of five teams in the league to be unbeaten at home this season, whilst Girona are yet to win an away game this season.

Key Player to Watch

Azzedine Ounahi: Although we predict Girona to lose in this affair, we can't take away how phenomenal Ounahi has been in this La Liga campaign, scoring three goals in nine games, most recently in the 1-1 draw against Real Madrid. The Morrocan has taken 19 shots in his campaign so far, and created 9 chances for his teammates, but none of them have been tucked away unfortunately. His dribbling ranks him number one in his position, succeeding at 26 dribbles in just nine games, whilst winning a staggering 29 fouls in that time. The 25-year-old signed from Panathinaikos this season following a dim spell at Marseille, and has won 63 duels in his 694 minutes for Girona in La Liga. He has certainly been the brightest in the side, and can make a real impact on Sunday

Elche vs Girona Match Information

Referee: Information Unavailable

Stadium: Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero holds a capacity of 31,388 for Elche

Broadcast: Premier Sports Player / La Liga TV

Time: 13:00 GMT

Event: La Liga - Round 15