Draw
Getafe 1 - 1 Levante
Who will win?
1
Getafe
x
Draw
2
Levante
Getafe welcome Levante to the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez on Saturday, 27 September 2025 (13:00 GMT) in La Liga. Both sides have identical win probabilities at 40%, while the model projects a 1-1 stalemate as the most likely outcome. With low attacking output (1.1 xG each) and just a 35% chance of Over 2.5 Goals, goals may come at a premium.
## Key Betting Tip: Draw @ 3.20
Date: 27 September 2025
Kick-Off: 13:00 GMT
Competition: Spain La Liga
Venue: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez, Getafe – a 17,000-seater ground known for its compact and tight atmosphere.
Referee: TBC
Spain: Movistar+ LaLiga
UK: Viaplay Sports / LaLiga TV
International: ESPN+, DAZN (selected regions), Bet365 streaming
Home Win Probability: 40%
Away Win Probability: 40%
Draw Probability: 20%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 36.7%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 35%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw
Draw @ 3.20 – With both sides evenly matched and low-scoring tendencies, the stalemate offers strong value.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 – Only 2.2 expected match goals with both averaging just over 1 xG, suggesting a tight contest.
Expected Match Goals: 2.20
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 85%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 80%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 35%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 10%
First Half Goals Projection: 0.73 (47% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Draw @ 3.20
Best Bet 2: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57
The numbers point towards a cautious clash where defences dominate. Both teams average fewer than 1.5 goals per game, making the 1-1 correct score a realistic and valuable play.
At Football Park, we highlight value through advanced analytics, but football remains unpredictable. Always stake responsibly and never wager more than you can afford to lose.
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