BTTS Yes
Girona 2 - 2 Sevilla
Who will win?
1
Girona
x
Draw
2
Sevilla
The Spain La Liga action continues on 30 August 2025, as Girona host Sevilla at the Estadi Montilivi in a clash kicking off at 18:30 GMT. Both sides enter this fixture with equal algorithm win probabilities (40% each), highlighting the potential for a tightly contested encounter. However, Football Park’s data-driven model suggests a strong chance of goals, with an expected 3.1 total match goals and a 70% probability of both teams scoring.
Our algorithm-driven insights go beyond surface-level form, weighing historical matchups, tactical trends, and efficiency metrics. Previous head-to-head encounters at Montilivi show Girona have caused Sevilla problems before, most notably with a 5-1 win in 2024. With the odds finely balanced, this game presents intriguing betting opportunities.
Home Win Probability: 40.00%
Draw Probability: 20.00%
Away Win Probability: 40.00%
Correct Score Prediction: Girona 2-2 Sevilla
Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score @ 2.30 – Supported by a 70% BTTS probability and a 60% likelihood of over 2.5 goals.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.80 – Strong algorithm confidence (70%) makes this market a standout option.
This fixture has a history of producing goals and drama:
Jan 2025: Girona 1-2 Sevilla
Jan 2024: Girona 5-1 Sevilla
Jan 2023: Girona 2-1 Sevilla
Apr 2019: Girona 1-0 Sevilla
The data shows Girona have won three of their last four home games against Sevilla, with an impressive scoring return.
Goal Expectation: With over 90% probability for 0.5+ goals and 70% for over 1.5, this game is unlikely to end low-scoring.
Match Flow: The algorithm points to a balanced first half (46.7% chance of draw at HT), followed by an open second half.
Attacking Edge: Sevilla’s 1.6 expected goals slightly edges Girona’s 1.5, but Girona’s home record levels the playing field.
Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS @ 2.30 – High-value selection supported by algorithm data.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.80 – Reliable given the 70% probability.
For punters seeking higher-risk returns, the 2-2 correct scoreline aligns perfectly with both the probabilities and historic match trends.
Referee: Appointment to be confirmed by La Liga.
Broadcast: Available on DAZN Spain, Movistar LaLiga, and international streaming platforms.
Venue: Estadi Montilivi, Girona – A compact but challenging ground for visiting teams.
Football Park’s algorithm is designed to identify value markets, not certainties. Always gamble responsibly and stay within your limits.
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