BTTS Yes
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Sevilla
Who will win?
1
Rayo Vallecano
x
Draw
2
Sevilla
Rayo host Sevilla at the Estadio de Vallecas on Sunday, 28 September 2025 (13:00 GMT) in La Liga. The model expects a cagey affair, with a 60% probability of a draw and a 1-1 correct score standing out. While bookmakers slightly lean towards Rayo at 2.05 odds, Football Park’s algorithm points to Sevilla having greater value on a Double Chance market.
Date: 28 September 2025
Kick-Off: 13:00 GMT
Competition: Spain La Liga
Venue: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid – an intense, compact ground with just over 14,000 capacity.
Referee: TBC
Spain: Movistar+ LaLiga
UK: LaLiga TV / Viaplay Sports
International: ESPN+, DAZN, Bet365 streaming
Home Win Probability: 13.3%
Away Win Probability: 26.7%
Draw Probability: 60.0%
Correct Score Prediction: 1-1
Both Teams to Score Probability: 73.3%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40.0%
Half-Time/Full-Time Projection: Draw/Draw
Sevilla Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.73 – Value play as Sevilla carry stronger attacking metrics compared to Rayo.
Both Teams to Score @ 1.95 – With a 73% BTTS probability, goals at both ends look highly likely.
Expected Match Goals: 2.70
Over 0.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 1.5 Goals Probability: 90%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
Over 3.5 Goals Probability: 30%
First Half Goals Projection: 1.20 (67% chance of at least one first-half goal)
Best Bet 1: Sevilla Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 1.73
Best Bet 2: Both Teams to Score @ 1.95
Rayo have been strong at home historically, but Sevilla’s resilience and attacking edge mean the visitors are unlikely to leave empty-handed. A 1-1 draw is the model’s standout pick, aligning with value in the BTTS market.
At Football Park, we use advanced predictive models to highlight value bets, but no outcome is guaranteed. Always bet responsibly and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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